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Every Meeting is Live

As a signal of intent, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said, “Every meeting is live,” in testimony to the Senate Banking Committee today. She acknowledged that during any of the upcoming FOMC meetings this year, there is a possibility of an interest rate increase by the central bank. Based on her statements, we could see in interest rate hike as early as March.

She reconfirmed that a rate increase would be data dependent, and only initiated when appropriate. “At our upcoming meetings, the committee will evaluate whether employment and inflation are continuing to evolve in line with these expectations, in which case a further adjustment of the federal funds rate would likely be appropriate.”

When Chairwoman Yellen was pressed for a direct answer as to whether or not an interest rate hike would take place in March, she responded by saying, “I know people are focused on that. I can’t tell you exactly which meeting it would be. I would say every meeting is live.”

US Dollar Reacts to a More Hawkish Fed Chairwoman

Today’s testimony by Janet Yellen was seen as more hawkish than previous statements made by Fed Chairwoman. As such, traders witnessed a stronger US dollar, which traded 3/10 of a percent higher on the day. She cautioned about waiting too long to tighten US monetary policy, stating that that would be unwise.

US equities reacted favorably, or at least not in a negative manner. The net result was new record highs across the board in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard & Poor’s 500, as well as the NASDAQ.

Gold Prices Plunge, Then Recover

Gold prices had been trading moderately higher to unchanged prior to her testimony. However, by 9:30 Eastern Standard Time, gold prices plunged from 1235 to 1222 per ounce within an hour of trading. However, by the conclusion of trading at 4 o’clock Eastern Standard Time, gold is trading back to $1229 per ounce, a net gain of approximately three dollars on the day.

By underlining that any rate hike would be data dependent, but also saying that Fed policy remains “accommodative,” Chairwoman Yellen did little to answer the question of when the next rate hike would be.

For those who would like a deeper analysis, I invite you to sign up for a free trial. Simply use the link at the bottom of this report to view this week’s report, or to sign up for a free trial.

Wishing you as always, good trading,

Gary Wagner
Thegoldforecast.com

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
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