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And how did gold do for the week?
If you study the Kitco gold graph daily you will notice that every
time the gold price comes down there is a sharp spike back up. This
is additional evidence that confirms a strengthening & developing
gold bull market as there continues to be increasing support for
gold as the price dips.
And as we keep saying repeatedly 400 is slowly becoming a FLOOR
price for gold & not a ceiling. Very important to absorb this
price action as these facts help us to portend the longer term trend
for a higher & stronger gold price.
Well, a few folks reaped a golden pot for the week. Anyway, for
those lucky souls fortunate enough to have appeared on the Oprah
Winfrey Show last week.
"Talk show host Oprah Winfrey celebrated the premiere of her
19th season Monday by surprising each of her 276 audience members
with a new car." AP, Fox News, 9-13-2004
And I know there are those who would quickly write this off as
a PR stunt & say "so what?"
"Winfrey said the audience members were chosen because their
friends or family had written to the show about their need for a
new car." AP, Fox News, 9-13-2004
We talk repeatedly about how it is always important to remember
that there are more important things than gold & making money.
"In other segments on the show, Winfrey surprised a 20-year-old
girl who had spent years in foster care & homeless shelters
with a four-year college scholarship, a makeover & $10,000 in
clothes. And a family with eight foster children who were going
to be kicked out of the house they were renting were given $130,000
to buy & repair the home."
I think Oprah sets a good example of where our priorities should
always reside. And there is nothing wrong with that.
But let's get back to gold. Are you worried about the gold price
& its future direction? Then continue to keep your attention
focused on China & Asia. A lot continuing to happen over there
though you will never hear about it via most western news sources.
"
China will further open up the market & quicken
its steps toward getting integrated into the international market.
China should actively create conditions so that its gold market
becomes (an) important component of international gold market."
People's Daily Online, 9-7-2004
You'll notice the English is a little rough as I am pulling text
from Internet Chinese news sites.
"The establishment of China's gold market signifies the completion
of constructing a market for major financial products in China
"
People's Daily Online, 9-7-2004
It's really funny.
The Chinese news services generally write positive & objective
news reports about gold, but as you read Western news sources then
the gold news becomes slanted & biased. Just a while back Mineweb.com
had an article lambasting & slamming the growing Chinese gold
market as just an ill conceived illusion & myth. The western
establishment finds it generally easy to put a negative slant on
gold news. But the Chinese always write objectively & honestly
about gold.
And since we mention Mineweb.com are you aware that our good friend
& buddy Tim Wood just quit there? Always felt a little sorrow
for Tim. Tim always wanted to play "the devils advocate"
with gold but the strategy often backfired & just confused his
readers causing them to go to other more objective & unbiased
websites.
Right after reading about Tim Wood's leaving the Mineweb.com
in "a possible snit" I ran across the following article
about Hurricane Ivan.
"I ain't going nowhere cause I ain't scared,"
Charles "Smitty" Smith, 60, said as he sipped a morning
beer at the Double Play bar in the French Quarter." Associated
Press, Mary Foster, 9-15-2004
I understand Tim Wood was last seen with Charles "Smitty"
in New Orleans & waiting for Hurricane Ivan to arrive. We do
wish you the best Tim! You did a good job of keeping everyone's
golden bubble popped & keeping goldbugs panties in a knot.
The following news text below should bring comfort to all. Teresa
Heinz is practicing & preparing to become First Lady by applying
her type of compassion to present hurricane victims.
"
Teresa Heinz Kerry, encouraging volunteers
as they busily packed supplies Wednesday for hurricane relief efforts
in the Caribbean, said she was concerned the effort was too focused
on sending clothes instead of essentials like water and electric
generators."
"Clothing is wonderful, but let them go naked for a while,
at least the kids
," Sam Dolnick, Associated Press, 9-15-2004
Good thinking & excellent advice, Teresa! My wife took your
advice & let the kids go to school naked this morning to set
an example.
Anyway, let's go back to China & gold.
Tons of US dollars continue to head to Asia & the Chinese are
quickly using these sums to build up & to develop their country's
wealth in a way the Arabs just never knew how. Not too long ago
China was just an economic backwater, but no longer.
And more? Remember, their English is a little coarse.
"Gold demand in China has huge growth potential with the opening
of individual gold investment business
" "Some Chinese
commercial banks & gold companies recently opened the gold investment
business for individuals." "China Merchants Bank started
to sell gold bullions to individuals as an agent of gold producers
in June." Yu Qiao, China Daily, 8-12-2004
I am finding that there is so much positive gold news coming out
of China that it would be easy to write an article every week just
about the growing Asian gold industry.
"Zhongjin Gold Co Ltd, a Shanghai-listed gold producer, launched
the individual gold investment business last month in Dalian in
Northeast China's Lianing Province in collaboration with a local
partner." "China Banking Regulatory Commission is expected
to approve the nations "big four" State-owned commercial
banks - Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural
Bank of China, Bank of China & China Construction Bank - to
directly conduct the (gold) business this year, industry sources
said." Yu Qiao, China Daily, 8-12-2004
And let no one kid you that growing Chinese gold consumption is
for real.
"Gold demand in the mainland grew by 6 percent year-on-year
"
"The gold exchange, launched in late 2002, now has 108 members
- including commercial banks & gold producers & processors
"
Yu Qiao, China Daily, 8-12-2004
And as the sun continues to rise on Chinas' golden shores the sun
continues to set here in the West. Due to rising western debt our
future financial & economic problems will only grow & become
more severe. But this problem of too much national debt taken on
by countries is not new & has repeated itself many, many times
over the centuries.
"By the year 1700, the Dutch were by far the world's wealthiest
people, with a per capita GDP that was almost twice that of the
nearest competitor, the English. In addition, the Dutch possessed
an unrivaled system of finance, transport, & urban infrastructure.
Holland's cityscapes were the most lovely in Europe" William
J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, 2004
Even Adam Smith (The Wealth of Nations) recognized the wealth of
Holland in 1700.
"
Adam Smith, the founding father of economics, like
most Englishmen of his time, had good reason to envy Holland's wealth:
The province of Holland
in proportion to the extent of its
territory & the number of its people, is a richer country than
England." William J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, 2004
But there was trouble in paradise.
"
Dutch finance was a little too successful. The government
could easily borrow so easily & at such low rates that by the
eighteenth century Holland had buried itself in debt." William
J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, 2004
Yes, the Dutch got themselves over extended which eventually lead
to the wealth flow heading to England. And then England saw wealth
leave its island & head to the U.S. And now that wealth flow
is traveling west again by going to Asia & China.
"Even as Holland's economic & political beacon was beginning
to dim, however, some of its best & brightest minds were already
crossing the North Sea (to England) to help ignite a far greater
explosion of wealth." William J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty,
2004
There is really nothing new in these shifting wealth patterns &
"trends."
Everyone always believes that the sun will never set on their party,
but it eventually always does. That is the way of history &
"trends." And especially with wealth. Wealth is never
static but is always constantly looking for new owners.
"Prosperous foreign trade breeds jealousy, distrust, &
finally attack from poorer neighbors. For Holland, the seventeenth
century's wealthiest nation, that was not long in coming. At mid-century,
while Dutch power was at its peak, the British were barely emerging
from the chaos of civil war. Their envy of Holland's prosperity
was palpable, and they seized upon even the slightest pretext to
disrupt Dutch trade." William J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty,
2004
Now listen to the following bit of trivia about Holland as she
was at the pinnacle of her financial greatness.
"An increasingly narrow segment of the population subsisted
mainly on investment income & produced little." William
J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, 2004
What we just read explains the U.S. perfectly. Today it is said
repeatedly that we really do not need factories. It really is no
longer important that we do not produce anything anymore. After
all, we can all just live off of our growing investment portfolios,
right?
"A nation's wealth can be traced to its propensity to save
& invest, to build engines of wealth in the form of manufacturing
plants, mines, drill rigs, farms, service centers." Jim Willie,
A Week With Richebacher in Cannes, 9-12-2003
And what else does the very respected & venerable Dr. Karl
Richebacher have to say of America?
"American economists have absolutely no concept of macro-economics.
The US is attempting to re-invent macro-economics, instead of applying
it from proven history. In time, results will prove to be absolutely
disastrous because of the accumulated debts involved," Kurt
Richebacher." Jim Willie, A Week With Richebacher in Cannes,
9-12-2003
The following is more interesting news from China.
"China executed four people, including employees of two of
its Big Four state banks, for fraud totaling the equivalent of about
$15 million, the Xinhua state news agency said Tuesday, amid the
country's high-profile campaign against financial crime." "China,
which executes more criminals than the rest of the world combined
"
Interesting news I think.
I'll bet you will not find anyone manipulating the price of gold
in China for sure. And this is what frustrates the gold cartel.
They have no control over China or the future of the Asian gold
market.
Now are you coming to a better understanding of why the financial
direction of China & Asia & the gold market there is so
important & becoming increasingly more so?
"The Chinese are the real capitalists now, not the Americans."
Jim Willie, A Week With Richebacher in Cannes, 9-12-2003
Bashing Bush doesn't seem to be too good an idea these days. Especially
when the information used is not very credible. Dan Rather seems
to be finding this out the hard way.
"CBS executives on both coasts have become concerned in recent
days that Dan Rather's EVENING NEWS broadcast has plunged in the
ratings since the anchor presented questionable documents about
Bush's National Guard service."
"And in the nation's top market, New York, Rather finished
not only behind NBC NIGHTLY NEWS and ABC WORLD NEWS TONIGHT -- but
also pulled less audience than reruns of the SIMPSONS
"
Drudge Report, 9-16-2004
But let's get back to Oprah briefly.
"Oprah Winfrey could just sit back. Relax. Count her millions.
Jet between her many fabulous homes. Go yachting whenever she feels
like it (or attend tax deductible gold shows every month.)"
Ann Oldenburg, USA Today, 9-14-2004
And, yes, as many will remind me much of her actions are PR stunts,
but does the fact that it is "PR" diminish its effectiveness?
"Who I am is a person who understands what it means to give
back." Ann Oldenburg, USA Today, 9-14-2004
Well, maybe the free car stunt did generate good PR & it definitely
was positive for her shows ratings. But what is wrong with that?
Maybe the gold industry could learn something by observing &
studying Oprah Winfreys marketing practices.
"But I'm in awe because I keep thinking 1954 Mississippi
"
Ann Oldenburg, USA Today, 9-14-2004
Yes, it never hurts for all of us to remember our humble roots
& if Oprah's message does no more than that for the rest of
us that is a good thing.
"How on earth can a nation expect or realize an economic recovery
when $500 billion is sent abroad (to Asia) to pay its trade bills?"
Jim Willie, A Week With Richebacher in Cannes, 9-12-2003
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