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What Does Gold Do When Trump Tweets?

Kitco News

(Kitco News) - When President Donald Trump tweets, markets listen.

We saw this when he went on Twitter to slam Nordstrom for cutting his daughter’s fashion line. The department store’s stock dropped as much as 1% within a minute of his tweet.

But when it comes to gold, the metal is a little more resilient to Trump’s Twitter rants.

Looking at a daily chart since Trump was elected president, gold saw its biggest spike the day the election results came out. The unprecedented win took markets by storm and investors flocked into the safe-haven metal, pushing it up nearly 5% even if the gains were short-lived.

It wasn’t until May that the metal saw another notable spike, pushing up nearly 2% as geopolitical uncertainty rose following news that Trump had shared sensitive information with Russia. The metal traded around $1,258.70 an ounce at the time.

And who can forget heightened tensions with North Korea, which saw gold rally some 1.6% in early April.

On the flip side, gold has also seen significant dips during Trump’s presidency, most notably in November, shortly after his win.

The 5% election gains were brief, with prices dropping about $40 an ounce on November 11. Investors were quick to jump back into equities as Trump promoted his plans to “make America Great Again.”

However, when you look closely, it seems President Trump’s approval – or disapproval – ratings might have a stronger correlation with gold prices than his tweets do.  

Gold’s biggest spikes – from opening prices to intraday high – typically correlated with stronger disapproval ratings for President Trump. For instance, on May 17, gold rallied nearly $25 from its open to its high. According to fivethirtyeight.com, Trump’s disapproval rating stood at nearly 55% that day.

Meanwhile, on gold’s biggest down days, which were shortly after Election Day, the President’s approval rating stood at 42%, according to Gallup.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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