Gold And Presidential Politics: Why Your Vote May Not CountFriday September 16, 2016 11:07
(Kitco News) - Sept 9 –Brace yourself. The winds are changing. Come 2017, there will be a new occupant in the Oval Office in Washington, D.C. However, it may be disturbing to know that your vote may not really matter, depending on what state you live in.
It's not the popular vote in the United States that
determines who wins the election, it's the Electoral College.
When Americans go to the polls and vote for President and Vice President, they are actually voting for the Electoral College. It is these electors –who actually choose the nation's president.
This is an elaborate system created by the Founding Fathers in which the Constitution delegates each state a number of electoral votes equal to the combined total of the state’s Senate and House of Representatives delegations. There is a group of electors voted in for each political party in every state. In the winner-take-all system, whoever wins the popular vote of that state will win all the Electoral Votes from that state.
Example: if you live in California, no matter who you vote for, Clinton is expected to take all the Electoral votes (55) of that state.
Or, if you live in Idaho (4) Wyoming (3), or Tennessee (11), Trump is seen as solid in those states, so no matter who you vote for the Electors will vote for Trump.
The current count: RealClearPolitics.com has a running total in real time and is a good source for this information.
Why was this system developed: Some say, this system was designed because the founding fathers, who were an educated bunch, didn't trust the rank and file and perhaps less educated citizenship to actually choose the leaders of the country.
Question: How many times was a US president elected to the White House who did not win the popular vote? Yes, it's happened.
Swing States Hold the Key
Hint: To track pre-election trends, follow polls in the key battleground swing states. These include:
Clinton versus Trump: Economic Implications For Gold
"Clinton represents the status quo and Trump represents serious change amid increased
uncertainty. Trump’s easier fiscal policy and decreased regulation could drive growth and
inflation higher in the near term, perhaps requiring tighter monetary policy. However, increased uncertainty under Trump could weigh on growth," according to a research report from Credit Suisse.
Trump: has potential to get his proposals passed in a likely Republican controlled Congress.
Clinton: is expected to be largely status quo, as her policies are similar to President Obamas. Growth, policy and earnings expectations are unliklely to change significantly, Credit Suisse says.
Bottom Line For Gold
No matter who wins the White House in November, gold could come out a winner.
Your popular vote still may not matter. There has been some rumblings for a National Popular Vote bill, but it hasn't gained a lot of steam. Maybe it is time for this proposal to gain some attention. It would equalize political clout among all states, and all Americans.