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Gold still projected lower 9/24/20

Commentaries & Views

On a higher timeframe basis: I cautioned on 8/16/18 the break back above $1,179.7-$1,183.7 warned of renewed strength. We have seen $905.5 of this. The break above $1,347.0 projected this upward $80 minimum, $320 (+) maximum. We have attained $744.2 of this. On 4/2 we left a bullish reversal below that warned of continued strength. We have seen $470.7. We have seen $398.2 of the strength warned about above the $1,690.3-$1,691.0 area. All of the above macro bullish formations are ON HOLD. I noted we had a higher timeframe possible exhaustion to contend with that came in at $2,071.6-93.2 that has the potential to bring in a bearish correction—we held this at $2,089.2 and have rolled over $224.2. The trade back below $2,043.6 has brought in $178.6 of the decent pressure we are looking for. I warned last Friday this week has an even greater likelihood of seeing a range expansion—we have already exceeded last week’s range. I have noted since last week that the Gold is entering into a historically bearish period through early October, and even into December. Decent trade above $1,936.5-8.1 (+1 tic per/hour starting at 8:20am) changes the general picture and warns of decent short covering for days.

On a lower timeframe basis: We held exhaustion above at $1,999.7-$2,006.5 with a $2,001.2 high and rolled over $149.2. The decent trade below $1,965.7 (+3 tics per/hour) warned of decent pressure. We have seen $113.7 so far. I would note that we are approaching lower timeframe exhaustion levels for this move down from $1,983.8 that come in $1,833.6-20.5 (minor/medium), $1,809.6 (medium), $1,781.3-66.3 (minor/medium) and lower—any of which have the potential to bring in a bullish correction of over $40 against the move down before (if) continuing lower.  Currently we are seeing some intra-day short covering.

NOTE: this is just a small portion of the market calls I provide my clients twice daily in the Gold and Energy complex. 'Decent penetrations' are specific amounts and provided to clients daily as well. If you are interested, please feel free to reach out.

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