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Gold in consolidation within bearishness 1/14/21

Commentaries & Views

On a higher timeframe basis: I cautioned on 8/16/18 the break above $1,179.7-$1,183.7 warned of renewed strength. We have seen $905.5 of this. The break above $1,347.0 projected this upward $80 minimum, $320 (+) maximum. We have attained $744.2 of this. On 4/2 we left a bullish reversal below. We have seen $470.7. We have seen $398.2 of the strength warned about above the $1,690.3-$1,691.0 area. All of the above bullish formations are ON HOLD since 12/31/20. I noted we had a higher timeframe exhaustion to contend with that came in at $2,071.6-93.2 that had the potential to bring in a bearish correction—we held this at $2,089.2 and have rolled over $322 into that correction. The trade back below $2,043.6 has brought in $276.5 of the decent pressure we were looking for. We held exhaustion above at $1,999.7-$2,006.5 with a $2,001.2 high and rolled over $234. Friday’s move down suggests one of two things: 1.) this may be in a new macro bearish stretch, putting the bearish correction from $2,089.2 down back in play, or 2.) we may be building a higher level of consolidation up here—I think the first is more likely.

On a lower timeframe basis: The decent trade below $1,915.7 (+2 tics per/hour) projected this downward $19 minimum, $75 (+) maximum. We have attained $98.6 of this so far. The short-term bearish reversal left above on 1/8 has attained $67.2.The trade below $1,854.6 (+5.5 tics per/hour) has brought in $28 of pressure. If we break back above decently, look for decent short covering to come in.This will come in at $1,863.0 (+5.5 tics per/hour starting at 8:20am).I warned that today has a good likelihood of seeing range expansion--we have already more than doubled yesterday’s range.


NOTE: this is just a small portion of the market calls I provide my clients twice daily in the Gold and Energy complex. 'Decent penetrations' are specific amounts and provided to clients daily as well. If you are interested, please feel free to reach out.

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