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Is the trend changing for gold?

Commentaries & Views

Gold is starting to show some life and the potential for a trend change. The major level of resistance is $1,750 April futures. Although we remain short and will stay there until our algorithm turns positive, we are seeing signs of life. We are comfortable being short here but can recognize this could be the start of making a bottom.

The last three days have seen a slow and steady rise while we were expecting a dead-cat bounce short squeeze. Earlier in the week, we were aggressive sellers under certain conditions. They didn’t occur. We are still negative but are not willing to be as aggressive to the short side. Like all markets, this can change; for now, we are short and waiting.

Silver had a perfect bounce from 25.00 May futures which was the level we identified as the key. We remain short Silver and will not be aggressively selling more. For now, we will maintain our short position watching the price action.

Equities are like the metals; the colossal rally, which started out as a short squeeze, continues to rise and, like metals, is starting to show signs of a change. This is why we only follow price action and only make decisions at the end of each day. The key is to stay away from the emotional swings during the trading day.

On Saturday March 6, Andy Hecht and I hosted a webinar on our newest addition to our Technomental Commodity Report. Below is the recording.

Recording: Technomental Commodity Webinar

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.