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Contributed Commentaries

Metals back in the box

Jonathan Da Silva

Kitco Commentaries | Opinions, Ideas and Markets Talk

Featuring views and opinions written by market professionals, not staff journalists.

Commentaries & Views

The action in markets yesterday was reminiscent of that last seen in the overnight hours of Nov. 9, 2016. Fear sentiment took stocks to limit down and drove gold up 100$ overnight, only to completely reverse by market open. Seasoned traders recall that knee-jerk, fear-based moves are always exposed to dramatic reversals.

Metals are back in the box they traded in earlier in the week, after $1960 and $1915 both fell under indiscriminate selling yesterday intraday. However, the recent pattern of higher highs in metals remains intact. $1875 and $1915 should continue to serve as price parameters for further consolidation. The pattern of higher highs also remains intact for silver, platinum and palladium as well. Platinum bulls, however, will be in a battle to reclaim $1065.

The opposite side of the reversal occurred in stocks, which started the day deep in the red yesterday only to close green. Stock futures are pointing to a slightly higher open today. The reversal was largely fueled by short position covering with bulls possibly closing hedges and certainly, bears taking profit on short positions. Whether yesterday's reversal signaled the bottom in this equities correction remains to be seen, as market participants' focus gradually shifts back to monetary policy and the "fight" against inflation.

By Jonathan Da Silva

Contributing to kitco.com

Contact jdasilva@kitco.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.