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Gold/Silver: The floor on silver is stronger than ever

Commentaries & Views

Volatility is back, and emotions are running high after a better-than-expected nonfarm payroll report (517,000 vs. 193,000 exp.) put the dovish "pivot" narrative to bed and caused the market to reprice in "tighter for longer." Whether or not the Fed raises more than the expected 25 bps in March, we will have to wait and see. Next week we will hear from several Fed officials, and if the doves come back, this correction in the Precious Metals could be the buy of the year.

Daily Silver Chart

Silver's volatility continues to expand, with the average true range (ATR) hitting the highest since November at 88 cents/day. That means the Silver market could and should swing 88 cents in a typical trading session until something changes. If you followed last week's example "long strangle" strategy by purchasing the March $25 strike Silver call and simultaneously buying the March $22.50 put option for a net premium of 50 cents, you now have two options. You can liquidate the $22.50 strike put option, walk away "in the black" by about 20 cents, and have a free $25 call option, or unwind the whole trade for a nice gain. To further help you develop a trading plan, I went back through 20 years of my trading strategies to create a Free New "5-Step Technical Analysis Guide to Gold that can easily apply to Silver." The guide will provide you with all the Technical analysis steps to create an actionable plan used as a foundation for entering and exiting the market. You can request yours here: 5-Step Technical Analysis Guide to Silver.

After talking to many different Silver and Gold traders over the week, the number of fundamental reasons to own Silver is growing. The physical demand continues to expand, leaving the perfect setup for a decade of demand outstripping supply. Traders now are not only looking at the disconnect between the price of Gold and Silver with the ratio rising but also looking at Silver as one of the most undervalued natural resources on the planet. If you have never traded futures or commodities or would like to learn more about taking delivery of Silver, I just completed a new educational guide that answers all your questions on transferring your current investing skills into trading "real assets," such as the 1000 oz Silver futures contract. You can request yours here: Trade Metals, Transition your Experience Book.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.