Contributed Commentaries
Gold/Silver: Strategic investing for the long haul
Kitco Commentaries | Opinions, Ideas and Markets Talk
Featuring views and opinions written by market professionals, not staff journalists.
Red-hot inflation data continues to pressure the Precious Metals markets, with Core PCE price data (the Fed's preferred inflation indicator) coming in at 0.6% vs. 0.4% expected on Friday. This data certainly cemented another interest rate hike and caused the front-month May Silver futures to drop another 2.5%. China's growth worries also resurfaced, leading to another steep drop in Copper prices (-2.5%) with the first critical test of support at $4.00 and the 50-day moving average.
Daily Copper Chart
Daily Gold Chart
Long-Term Strategy
By systematically purchasing regular intervals of the 10-ounce Gold contract or 1000-ounce Silver contract, you can layer in over time and preposition for the next rally. One example with a $25,000 account size would be to focus on the December 2023 10-ounce Gold contract and use a dollar-cost average approach by purchasing 10 ounces of Gold at 1850/oz, 10 oz at 1800, and 10 oz at 1750 with a year-end target of $2100/oz. If filled on all three contracts, your average price will be $1800/oz; therefore, every dollar move Gold makes on the three contracts will be $30 since you control 30 ounces. If the $2100/oz price objective is achieved by year-end, this will result in a gain of approximately $9,000 (30 oz times $300 rise). Traders should also consider proper risk management while using a dollar-cost averaging approach, such as a hard stop on three contracts at $1700. If that were to occur under this scenario, it would likely result in a loss of $3,000. If you have never traded futures or commodities or would like to learn more about taking delivery of Silver, I just completed a new educational guide that answers all your questions on transferring your current investing skills into trading "real assets," such as the 1000 oz Silver futures contract. You can request yours here: Trade Metals, Transition your Experience Book.
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