Off The Wire
Stocks cheered by Trump trade talk; sterling springs off lows
LONDON (Reuters) - Stock markets rallied on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump sounded upbeat about doing a trade deal with China, while sterling jumped off 20-month lows as Prime Minister Theresa May vowed to fight a challenge to her leadership.
Reports that Italy’s government had bowed to pressure to scale back its spending plans put a spring in the euro’s step and Wall Street was expected to open strongly due to the trade signals. [.N]
In an interview with Reuters, Trump said talks were taking place with Beijing by phone and he would not raise tariffs on Chinese imports until he knew whether the two sides would reach a deal.
Trump also said he would intervene in the Justice Department’s case against a top executive at China’s Huawei Technologies [HWT.UL] if it served national security interests or helped to close a trade deal.
A Canadian court granted bail on Tuesday to Huawei’s chief financial officer in a move that could help placate Chinese officials angered by her arrest.
The news was enough to prompt a global bounce in sentiment and MSCI’s broadest index of world stocks advanced nearly 0.7 percent.
Japan’s Nikkei had led Asia with a jump of 2 percent, and while Shanghai trailed with just 0.2 percent, Europe then rose 1.3 percent and E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 added 0.9 percent. [.N]
“We are seeing risk sentiment stabilising a bit,” said Societe Generale strategist Alvin Tan. “Firstly we had news that China was considering reducing tariffs on U.S. cars, then the Huawei CFO was released on bail and then Trump said he could intervene in the case if it helped secure a trade deal.”
The euro rose 0.4 percent on the day to $1.1365 after the news.
Having been repeatedly disappointed before, analysts were still careful not to get too optimistic.
ING said the Huawei case had made it increasingly obvious that the trade war was about technology as much as anything else, and there were also reports that the United States would release new evidence this week on Chinese hacking and economic espionage.
Markets had also been jolted when Trump threatened to shut down the government over funding for a wall he has promised to build on the U.S. border with Mexico.
A VERY BRITISH COUP
The pound had fallen to 20-month lows overnight as lawmakers in May’s Conservative party gathered enough support to trigger a no-confidence vote in her leadership.
But it bounced back 0.8 percent as a number of heavyweight colleagues backed May and traders started wagering that she would survive, isolating opponents who want a clean, sudden break from the EU.
Nevertheless, uncertainty over what will be a secret ballot on Wednesday evening capped gains, keeping the pound around $1.26, having shed 1.9 percent in the previous two sessions to a trough of $1.2483.
The dollar stayed at 97.411 on a basket of currencies while the euro climbed to $1.1353 on reports that Italy would scale down its budget deficit target to 2 percent.
That would be well below the previous target of 2.4 percent and likely to ease tensions the spending plans had created with the European Commission.
Italian government bonds also rallied, with two-year yields down 18 basis points on the day at 0.49 percent. [GVD/EUR].
Investors were also digesting U.S consumer price data that showed unchanged headline inflation, reinforcing speculation of fewer rate increases by the Federal Reserve.
While markets still expect the Fed to tighten at its policy meeting next week, Trump said the central bank would be “foolish” to do so.
Wagers on a more restrained Fed helped gold stay near a five-month peak around $1,244 an ounce.
Oil bounced after industry data showed a surprisingly large draw on stockpiles and amid talk that a recent OPEC-led supply cut could support prices in 2019. [O/R]
Brent futures added another 85 cents to $61.06, while U.S. crude rose a full dollar to $52.66 a barrel.
Oil has also been supported this week by a drop in supply from Libya, which declared force majeure on exports from its largest field on Sunday after tribesmen and state security guards seized the facility.
Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in Sydney; Editing by Andrew Heavens and David Stamp