Citi sees gold price grinding to $2,000 by 2021
In a report published last week, commodity analysts at Citi said that they see gold prices pushing to $2,000 an ounce in the medium term. The analysts said they are bullish on gold as investor demand is expected to remain strong with the global environment of low to negative interest rates.
In its updated forecast, Citi sees gold prices averaging $1,715 an ounce in the second half of 2020. The bank sees gold prices averaging $1,925 in 2021.
Although Citi expect to see higher prices by next year, analysts are not forecasting a major breakout.
“We think prices are more likely to make a slow grind higher, but generally hold a $1,600-1,700 handle, rather than quickly spike to the $1,850-1,950 area,” the analysts said.
Looking at the technicals, Citi sees strong resistance at $1,800 an ounce and support between $1,682 and $1,720 an ounce. Currently, gold prices are hovering just above the bank’s initial support area. June gold futures last traded at $1,728, down 0.43% on the day.
With a prolonged environment of low to negative interest rates, Citi said that rising geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China and continued uncertainty surrounding the economic recovery – after global growth was decimated by the COVID-19 pandemic – will support safe-haven demand for the precious metal.
It’s also not just gold that Citi is bullish on, as the bank sees higher silver prices in the second half of the year, calling or prices to push to $22 an ounce in the third quarter.
Silver has seen a strong turn in fortunes as investor demand picked up significantly last week, pushing prices to their highest level since late February. Some commodity analysts have said that silver’s future looks a lot brighter as industrial demand starts to pick up as countries start to ease lockdown restrictions, put in place two months ago to try and stop the spread of the coronavirus.
July silver futures last traded at $17.905 an ounce, up more than 1% on the day.