Make Kitco Your Homepage

Oil on track for weekly rise amid global supply concerns

Kitco News

LONDON, May 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged lower on Friday but were on track for weekly gains, supported by the prospect of a tight market due to rising gasoline consumption in the United States in summer, and also the possibility of an EU ban on Russian oil.

Brent crude was down 20 cents, or 0.2%, at $117.20 at 1104 GMT, but was on track for a gain of about 4% this week.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 40 cents, or 0.4%, to $113.69 a barrel. WTI is set for a weekly gain of about 0.5%.

"Oil prices have risen to the highest level since end of March, benefiting from renewed declines in U.S. oil inventories," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

U.S. gasoline stocks (USOILG=ECI) fell by 482,000 barrels last week to 219.7 million barrels, U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. The start of summer driving season in the United States normally entails increased consumption.

"The U.S. driving season and strong travel demand should help (prices). With supply growth lagging demand growth, the oil market is likely to stay undersupplied. Hence, we remain positive in our outlook for crude prices," Staunovo added.

Both benchmark crude contracts were also supported as the European Commission continued to seek unanimous support of all 27 EU member states for its proposed new sanctions against Russia, with Hungary posing a stumbling block.

A top Hungarian aide said the country needed 3-1/2 to 4 years to shift away from Russian crude and make huge investments to adjust its economy. Hungary could not back the EU's proposed oil embargo until there was a deal on all issues, the aide said.

"We believe that a sharp contraction in Russian oil exports could trigger a full-blown 1980s style oil crisis and push Brent well past $150 per barrel," Bank of America said in a note.

Oil prices jumped after the Iranian revolution in 1979 and a long war between Iran and Iraq (1980-88), although a global recession soon hindered fuel demand and oil prices dropped back.

Prices have gained about 50% so far this year.

OPEC+ is set to stick to last year's oil production deal at its June 2 meeting and raise July output targets by 432,000 barrels per day, six OPEC+ sources told Reuters. The OPEC+ members would thereby rebuff Western calls for a faster increase to lower surging prices. read more

Reporting by Bozorgmehr Sharafedin in London, additional reporting by Stephanie Kelly in New York and Koustav Samanta in Singapore; Editing by Richard Pullin, Bradley Perrett, Kim Coghill and Jane Merriman
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.