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After a three-month rally, silver sees profit-taking; is this a signal for gold at resistance levels?

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Welcome to Kitco News' 2023 Outlook Series. Uncertainty continues to dominate financial markets as central bank monetary policies push the global economy into a recession to cool down inflation. Stay tuned to Kitco News to learn from the experts on how to navigate turbulent financial markets in 2023.

(Kitco News) - After outperforming gold in November and December, the rally in silver has slowed, with prices falling below $24 per ounce.

March silver futures last traded at $23.57 an ounce, down 1.50% on the day. As selling pressure picks up, analysts have said they are watching initial support at $23.26.

Some analysts note that after silver's 40% rally from two-year lows in September, the precious metal saw some solid profit-taking at resistance at $24.50. The selling pressure comes as the U.S. dollar appears to have found renewed support after significant selling pressure. The U.S. dollar Index is seeing solid support around 102 points, a seven-month low.

The near-term peak in silver comes as many analysts expect prices to continue to push higher. Commodity analysts at Commerzbank said that they see the silver market pushing above $25 an ounce by the end of the year as investor and industrial demand support higher prices.

"Industrial demand should continue to benefit from electrification of the vehicle fleet, 5G technology, and the government-driven rollout of green infrastructure such as photovoltaics. Physical investment demand should be buoyed unabated by fears of high inflation," the analysts said in their 2023 outlook forecast.

For some analysts, however, weaker silver prices don't bode well for the overall market in the near term.

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, is warning investors that silver could be leading gold prices lower as the yellow metal has hit solid resistance around $1,950 an ounce.

"#Silver's continued dismal performance relative to #gold and #copper is raising the risk of a general setback. XAUXAG trades near a 7-week high >82 while the dollar and yields are both poking higher. In gold, we watch $1895 support as a potential trigger," he said in a comment on Twitter.

Hedge funds add to their bullish gold bets, but rally appears to be losing some steam

Analysts at the European precious metals firm Umicore also highlighted silver's disappointing performance compared to gold and copper.

"After outperforming gold in November and December, silver now seems to be treading water, hovering around US$24/oz. The lack of momentum in silver is also in sharp contrast to other industrial metals such as copper, which recently hit a 7 month-high," the analysts said.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.