Mild price gains for gold as U.S. CPI awaited
(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are firmer in quieter early U.S. trading Monday. A weaker U.S. dollar index is a supportive outside market element lifting the metals markets to start the trading week. Short covering in the gold and silver futures markets is featured ahead of a key U.S. inflation report on Wednesdasy. December gold was last up $5.70 at $1,948.40 and December silver was up $0.196 at $23.37.
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Traders and investors are waiting for the next major U.S. data point, which is the consumer price index report for August out Wednesday morning. The CPI is expected to be up 4.3%, year-on-year, versus a 4.7% rise in the July report.
The European Central Bank also holds its regular monetary policy meeting this week and is expected to slightly raise its main interest rate by 0.25 percent.
Asian and European stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to higher openings when the New York day session begins.
|Robust U.S. economic activity to support dollar, weigh on gold prices next week|
In overnight news, a Wall Street Journal headline reads, "An important shift in Fed officials' stance is under way.” In the article, reporter Nick Timiraos, who is said to have close ties with the Fed, writes that Fed officials, including Chairman Jay Powell, now have a more balanced approach on monetary policy. That's a dovish shift from the more hawkish approach the Fed had in recent months, which was one of erring on the side of raising interest rates too high, to make certain inflation is choked off. Now, the Fed is more worried about further interest rate increases causing an unnecessary U.S. recession.
The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $87.00 a barrel. The benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching 4.294%.
There is no major U.S. economic data due for release Monday.
Technically, the gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close in December futures above solid resistance at the September high of $1,980.20. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the August low of $1,913.60. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,954.60 and then at $1,965.00. First support is seen at $1,939.00 and then at $1,925.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5
The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing December futures prices above solid technical resistance at this week's high of $24.655. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the August low of $22.585. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $23.515 and then at $24.00. Next support is seen at the September low of $23.13 and then at $23.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.