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A major expansion of aluminum production in Indonesia driven by Chinese companies is expected to push the global market into a surplus next year, which will lower prices of the metal widely used in the transport industry.Three new Chinese-backed smelters are nearing completion there, including Xinfa–Tsingshan’s Juwan in Weda Bay and Taijing in the Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park, and the Adaro–Lygend Kaltara project in North Kalimantan.Indonesia exported 325,293 metric tons of aluminum between January and August this year, up 67% from the year-ago period, compared with 10,713 tons in the first eight months of 2023, according to Trade Data Monitor.“The pace of Indonesian supply growth is going to play a key role in shaping aluminum market balances and prices,” said Ross Strachan, analyst at consultancy CRU.Primary production of aluminum, also used in construction and packaging, is estimated to exceed 72 million tons this year.Goldman Sachs projects a global aluminum market surplus of 1.5 million tons in 2026 and 2 million tons in 2027, with Indonesia’s primary production rising from 815,000 tons in 2025 to 1.6 million tons in 2026 and 2.5 million tons in 2027.“The new supply coming from Indonesia effectively resolves the global supply gap that we previously saw forming as China reaches its smelting capacity cap, at least for this decade,” the bank said in a note earlier this month.Goldman forecasts aluminum prices falling to $2,350 per metric ton in the fourth quarter of 2026, above the 90th percentile of estimated smelter costs. This means that 90% of aluminum smelters are expected to produce at a cost below that level, so if prices stay above it, most smelters remain profitable.Three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange was trading around $2,873 a metric ton on Monday.Macquarie expects Indonesia’s primary aluminum production to push the market into a 390,000-ton surplus next year.However, Macquarie sees a return to deficits longer term as China hits its capacity cap and demand rises.China’s aluminum output is nearing its mandated cap of 45 million tons, placing a limit on future growth.(By Ashitha Shivaprasad; Editing by Pratima Desai and Richard Chang)

Chinese firms drive aluminum expansion in Indonesia, raise surplus fears

Global miner Anglo American on Tuesday posted a 9% drop in copper production in the first nine months of the year but maintained its 2025 guidance for the transition metal, and raised its outlook for iron ore output.Anglo said its copper output stood at 183,500 metric tons in the July to September quarter, compared to 181,000 tons in the same period of 2024, but fell to 526,000 tons in the first nine months from 575,000 in 2024.The London-listed miner in September announced a plan to merge with Canada’s Teck Resources, hoping to forge a new global copper-focused heavyweight.The deal came as Anglo was in the middle of restructuring its business after fending off a $49 billion takeover offer from bigger rival BHP Group in 2024.Anglo still expects to produce 690,000-750,000 tons of copper and raised its iron numbers to 58-62 million tons from 57-61 million previously, after a pipeline inspection at its Minas-Rio operation in Brazil completed ahead of schedule.(By Clara Denina; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)

Anglo American posts 9% drop in copper output in first nine months

The price of gold is expected to hit $4,980 an ounce over the next 12 months, up some 27% from current levels, delegates to the London Bullion Market Association’s (LBMA) annual gathering in Kyoto predicted on Tuesday.On track for its biggest yearly rise since 1979, gold’s 52% growth so far this year has seen it break through $3,000 per ounce in March and then $4,000 in October – both seen as psychological resistance levels by market players.Results of the LBMA poll were gathered in the organization’s annual poll and shown to delegates at the conference.Fear of missing outPolitical tensions, US tariff uncertainty and, more recently, a wave of fear of missing out on the advance saw gold rallying to a record of $4,381 an ounce on October 20.The LBMA prediction compares with Reuters‘ latest poll of expectations, which delivered a 2026 average gold price forecast of $4,275 on Monday as economic and geopolitical turmoil keep the metal’s safe-haven allure intact.A poll of delegates from around the world at the LBMA conference also predicted that silver prices would jump to $59 per ounce in a year’s time from around $46 on Tuesday.Silver rise is most since 2010Silver prices are up 62% so far this year, the most since 2010, after hitting a record high of $54.5 on October 17 due to strong investment demand, tight supply in the London spot market and elevated purchases in India.They also forecast that platinum prices would climb to $1,816 an ounce from the current $1,544 and palladium would gain to $1,709 from around $1,364.Platinum and palladium are up 76% and 54%, respectively, so far this year amid tight mine supply and concerns about the US tariffs, prompting outflows to US stocks.(By Polina Devitt; Editing by David Holmes)

Gold industry sees price rising to near $5,000/oz over 12 months

South Africa’s Kumba Iron Ore on Tuesday reported a 12% increase in mineral railed to port in the September quarter on the back of improvements in freight rail performance, boosting quarterly sales volumes by 7%.The Anglo American unit delivered 10.2 million metric tons to Saldanha port in the quarter, compared to 9.1 million metric tons during the same period last year.As a result, Kumba’s total sales increased to 9.6 million metric tons in the quarter, from 9 million metric tons previously.Kumba, Africa’s biggest iron ore miner, said in a production update that the improvements on the freight rail network were mainly due to the ongoing collaboration between bulk mineral producers and state-owned logistics firm Transnet to restore the ore export corridor.The improved rail performance resulted in Kumba’s on-mine iron ore stockpiles reducing to 5.5 million metric tons, from 6.4 million metric tons in June. The stockpile at the port increased to 1.8 million metric tons at the end of September, from 1 million metric tons in June.Transnet’s struggles, blamed on under-investment as well as cable theft and vandalism of its infrastructure, have forced miners such as Kumba to curb their production to match the logistics firm’s diminished capacity.Transnet reported a 5% increase in its freight volumes after moving 160 million metric tons in the year ended March 2025. It targets hauling 180 million metric tons in the current financial year.Kumba expects its annual sales to be closer to the upper end of its unchanged sales and production forecast between 35 million and 37 million metric tons.(By Nelson Banya; Editing by Conor Humphries)&nbsp;

Kumba hauls more iron ore to port as rail performance improves

Brazilian miner Vale is confident it will regain this year the position of the world’s largest iron ore producer, CEO Gustavo Pimenta said on Tuesday, a title it had lost to Rio Tinto in recent years.“We are likely at our best in terms of operational performance right now,” Pimenta said during a mining conference in Salvador.(By Marta Nogueira and Isabel Teles; Editing by Gabriel Araujo)

Vale expects to reclaim top spot in global iron ore production, CEO says

Mining and transportation conglomerate Grupo Mexico reported third-quarter net profit rose more than 50%, boosted by higher sales volumes of molybdenum, silver and zinc even as copper production fell.Net profit for the group, a leading copper producer, came in at $1.29 billion from revenues that jumped 11% to $4.59 billion, according to a filing on Tuesday, the latter above a $4.41 billion estimate of analysts polled by LSEG.Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for the three months through end-September rose 15% to $2.51 billion.Grupo Mexico, controlled by billionaire German Larrea, ranks among the world’s largest copper producers by volume.It maintained its annual copper forecast of 1.08 million metric tons, as third-quarter copper production slipped 2.6% to 798,394 tons due to weaker output in Mexico and Peru and a shift toward molybdenum, zinc and silver.The mining division posted third-quarter sales of $10.33 billion, up 9.6% from a year earlier on higher molybdenum, silver and zinc volumes and stronger metal prices.Although copper sales fell 4.3% from a year earlier, sales of molybdenum – a metal used to strengthen steel and speed petroleum refining – grew 7.9%, along with sales of silver and zinc which grew 19.3% and 7.3%.The copper producer is looking to decide on investments for projects in the United States within the next three to five years.“There is an opportunity to invest up to $6.2 billion in the reopening and expansion of projects that align with the new mining and industrial policies of President Trump’s administration,” Grupo Mexico said.In October, Citigroup rejected Grupo Mexico’s bid for its retail unit in the country, known as Banamex, opting instead to push forward with a previously agreed-upon deal.Grupo Mexico surprised the market when it made the unsolicited $9.3 billion offer for Banamex more than two years after it had backed away from negotiations.Analysts had speculated that Grupo Mexico could engage in a back-and-forth for Banamex. However, the company said it would not enter a bidding war.In 2023, the company bowed out of the race for Banamex after talks struggled over tensions with the government of then-President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, leading Citi to opt to list the unit.(By Natalia Siniawski; Editing by Brendan O’Boyle and Deepa Babington)

Grupo Mexico’s Q3 profit up over 50%

Canada will focus on securing supplies of critical minerals when it hosts its Group of Seven partners this week at a meeting of energy and environment ministers in Toronto, Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson said in an interview on Tuesday.G7 countries, except Japan, are heavily or exclusively reliant on China for a range of materials from rare earth magnets to battery metals.“We will see this week many examples of us moving beyond talks to firm commitments to fund several types of tools (to secure critical minerals),” Hodgson said. The G7 meeting will be held from October 30 to October 31.Earlier this year G7 officials met in Chicago and discussed price floors backed by government subsidies, which the US recently introduced to encourage domestic production of critical minerals.Canada will also aim to cement offtake agreements, or financing deals where a buyer agrees to purchase a producer’s output in the future for a predetermined price.“What you will see on Friday is a number of concrete announcements demonstrating that a multilateral approach to securing supply chains and energy supplies works,” Hodgson said.He said Canada intended to be a leader in securing supply chains for all of its key allies, to reduce reliance on China. Canada produces several critical metals such as nickel, copper and cobalt.Some of the announcements expected this week from the G7 meeting will be on stockpiling of critical minerals and investments in new mining and processing operations, Hodgson said.US President Donald Trump called off trade talks with Canada this week that had been focusing on US tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum and autos. Hodgson reiterated that Canada and the US had also been in talks over the revival of the Keystone XL oil pipeline as part of an eventual deal, but said it was unclear when both countries would re-engage on the issue.“When the Americans are ready to talk, we are ready to talk,” he said.(By Divya Rajagopal; Editing by Caroline Stauffer and Mark Potter)

Canada to work with G7 partners to secure critical mineral supply deals, minister says

The United States signed a flurry of deals on trade and critical minerals with four Southeast Asian partners on Sunday, looking to address trade imbalances and diversify supply chains amid tighter export curbs on rare earths by China.US President Donald Trump, who is in Kuala Lumpur to attend a summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, signed reciprocal trade deals with his Malaysian and Cambodian counterparts, as well as a framework trade pact with Thailand that will see the countries work to address tariff and non-tariff barriers.The United States would maintain a tariff rate of 19% on exports from all three countries under the deals, with the levy to be reduced to zero for some goods, according to joint statements released by the White House.Washington also announced a similar framework deal with Vietnam, which has been levied with a tariff rate of 20% on its exports to the United States.Vietnam, which recorded a trade surplus of $123 billion with the United States last year, has pledged to vastly boost its purchases of US products to reduce the trade gap between the two countries.Malaysia not banning rare earth exports Trump on Sunday inked two separate US deals with Thailand and Malaysia seeking cooperation to diversify critical minerals supply chains, amid competing efforts from Beijing in the rapidly growing sector.Reuters reported exclusively this month that China was in talks with Kuala Lumpur on rare earths processing, with Malaysian sovereign wealth fund Khazanah Nasional expected to partner with a Chinese firm to build a refinery in Malaysia.China, the world’s top miner and processor of rare earths, has imposed increasingly stringent export controls on its refining technology, sending global manufacturers scrambling to secure alternative supplies for critical minerals used widely in semiconductor chips, electric vehicles and military equipment.Malaysia agreed on Sunday to refrain from banning or imposing quotas on exports to the US of critical minerals or rare earth elements, the countries said in a statement.The statement however did not specify whether Malaysia’s pledge applied to raw or processed rare earths.Malaysia, which has an estimated 16.1 million tonnes of rare earth deposits, has banned the export of raw rare earths to prevent the loss of resources as it looks to develop its downstream sector.Eliminating tariff barriersThe agreements were inked after Trump oversaw the signing of an enhanced ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia, following deadly border clashes between the neighbours earlier this year.Under the deals, the four Southeast Asian countries pledged to remove trade barriers and provide preferential market access to various US goods.The deals also include commitments in digital trade, services and investments as well as promises by the Southeast Asian countries to protect labour rights and strengthen environmental protections.Thailand, Malaysia and Vietnam further agreed to accept vehicles built to US motor vehicle safety and emissions standards, according to the statements.Malaysia, a majority Muslim country recognized as a global leader in halal certification, agreed to streamline requirements for US products such as cosmetics and pharmaceuticals.Its trade minister Tengku Zafrul Aziz told reporters that Malaysia had also secured tariff exemptions for aerospace equipment and pharmaceutical products as well as commodities such as palm oil, cacao and rubber.Thailand said it would eliminate tariff barriers on approximately 99% of goods, and relax foreign ownership restrictions for US investment in its telecommunications sector, both countries said in a statement.They also took note of several forthcoming commercial deals between Thai and US companies, including the purchases of agriculture products such as feed corn and soybean meal worth an estimated $2.6 billion per year.Thailand has also committed to purchases of 80 US aircraft totalling $18.8 billion and energy goods including liquefied natural gas and crude oil of around $5.4 billion annually, the statement said.(By Trevor Hunnicutt, Danial Azhar, Orathai Sriring, Khanh Vu, Mikhail Flores and Rozanna Latiff; Editing by David Stanway and Mark Heinrich)

Trump reverses Biden-era rules on copper smelters

Trump strikes deals on trade, critical minerals in Southeast Asia

Namibia’s President Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah has removed Natangwe Ithete from his posts as deputy prime minister and minister of industry, mines and energy, the presidency said in a statement on Sunday.“In the interest of ensuring continuity and effective coordination within this key sector, President Nandi-Ndaitwah will assume responsibility for the Ministry of Industry, Mines and Energy, effective immediately,” the statement said.It did not give a reason.Ithete was appointed to the posts in March as part of Nandi-Ndaitwah’s new administration. He remains a member of parliament, the statement said.Resource-rich Namibia is aiming for its first crude oil production by 2030 after several major discoveries in recent years. It mines commodities like uranium and diamonds.(By Nyasha Nyaungwa, Wendell Roelf and Nellie Peyton; Editing by Alexander Winning)

Namibian president takes over ministry of mines, energy and industry

Australia’s Larvotto Resources said on Monday it had rejected a non-binding indicative offer received last week from United States Antimony Corporation, valuing the miner at about A$722.9 million ($469.74 million).The diversified miner said at the time, USAC’s five-day volume-weighted average price had implied an offer value of A$1.40 per Larvotto share. However, as of Friday, the implied offer value had fallen to A$1.11 per Larvotto share, based on USAC’s closing share price, which valued the former at A$573.3 million.“After considering the offer in detail and taking into account the advice of our independent advisers, Larvotto’s board of directors unanimously formed the view that the offer materially undervalues Larvotto and has informed USAC accordingly,” the firm said in a statement.USAC, which sells antimony, zeolite, and precious metals primarily in the US and Canada, still has a 10% shareholding in the Australian firm.The US-based firm did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.($1 = 1.5389 Australian dollars)(By Shivangi Lahiri; Editing by Nia Williams)

Larvotto Resources rejects $373 million takeover offer on valuation concerns

European Council President Antonio Costa said on Monday that high-level officials from China were scheduled to visit Brussels in the coming weeks to discuss Beijing’s export curbs on rare earths.China’s expanded controls of rare earth exports have caused a global shortage, prompting an escalation in global trade tensions, particularly with the United States.Beijing controls more than 90% of the world’s supply of rare earth materials, which are essential for high-tech manufacturing, including electric vehicles, semiconductors and missiles.“We are very concerned about the trade relationship with China, especially the recent measures that China adopted regarding the export control of critical raw materials,” Costa told selected media in an interview on the sidelines of the ASEAN summit in Kuala Lumpur.“A high-level delegation from China is going to Brussels in the coming weeks and we hope to address these in the proper way.”Costa said China was also the country best placed to end the war between Ukraine and Russia, adding that Beijing underestimates its leverage over Moscow.He also said the European Union would look to finalize trade agreements with Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines soon, following his participation at a meeting of leaders from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in the Malaysian capital.The EU would not send observers to war-torn Myanmar for an election, Costa added, as the European bloc does not recognize the authority of the military-led administration in the Southeast Asian country.(By Danial Azhar; Editing by David Stanway)

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Coin	Price	1h%	24h%	7d%	Volume (24h)	Market Cap
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Solana SOL	$195.72	0.11	1.41	8.65	8.31B	107.55B
Cardano ADA	$0.65	-0.31	1.76	4.21	1.48B	23.91B
Dogecoin DOGE	$0.20	0.05	2.10	3.21	2.50B	29.70B
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Gold struggles as Fed’s Powell says December rate cut is not a forgone conclusion

Gold price consolidates below $4,000 as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates

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Gold prices largely ignore stagnant U.S. pending home sales data

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Bank of Canada trims key interest rate, hints at end to cuts

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