Gold drifts lower after Trump says deal with Iran 'over'

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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July 8 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell on Wednesday as oil ​prices surged and inflation concerns intensified after U.S. President Donald Trump said an ‌interim agreement aimed at ending the conflict with Iran was "over."

Spot gold dropped 0.8% to $4,072.69 per ounce by 09:11 a.m. EDT (1310 GMT) after hitting its lowest level since July 2 earlier in the session.

U.S. gold futures ​for August delivery slipped 1.8% to $4,083.20 per ounce.

"The main factor for today's move ​is the increased escalation in tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with a ⁠potential ceasefire over, we've seen risk assets across the board trade lower, gold included," ​said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.

In a flare-up of hostilities, Iran ​said it had targeted U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait after U.S. forces struck Iranian targets in response to attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil prices jumped more than 5%.

Higher ​energy prices can fuel inflation and potentially prompt higher interest rates to contain price pressures. ​Although gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation, the non-yielding metal tends to lose appeal ‌in a ⁠high-interest-rate environment.

Markets now await the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's June 16-17 meeting, due at 02:00 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) for further clues on monetary stance.

"There is a bit of a murky environment right now in regards to the future path of rates, with the ​market searching for any ​type of information ⁠that would lead to some clarity in regards to the path of rate hikes moving forward," Meger said.

Traders are pricing in about a ​67% chance of a U.S. rate hike in September, up from ​62% on ⁠Tuesday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Bank of America, in a note dated Tuesday, said it is reducing 2026 average gold forecasts by 14% to $4,360 on a more hawkish Fed, but added ⁠that it ​still sees $5,000 in reach once the tightening cycle ends.

Among ​other metals, spot silver fell 2.42% to $58.5681 per ounce, platinum shed 3.6% to $1,582.13, and palladium dipped 4.3% to $1,221.97.

Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru and additional reporting by Sumit Saha; Editing by Philippa Fletcher

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