Canadian dollar heads for third straight weekly gain as yield spreads narrow

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Canadian dollar heads for third straight weekly gain as yield spreads narrow teaser image

TORONTO, Aug 14 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened to a two-month high against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as domestic factory data supported recent ​narrowing in the gap between U.S. and Canadian bond yields.

The loonie ‌was trading 0.4% higher at 1.3875 per U.S. dollar, or 72.07 U.S. cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since June 3 at 1.3865. For the week, the ​currency was up 0.5%, putting it on track for its third ​straight weekly gain.

"The retrenchment in Fed tightening expectations — which has ⁠further to go, we believe — has driven a significant narrowing in front-end ​spreads since the end of July," Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret, strategists at ​Scotiabank, said in a note.

The gap between Canada's 2-year yield and the U.S. equivalent has narrowed by about 17 basis points this month to 120 basis points in favor ​of the U.S. note.

"At the margin, Friday's disappointing U.S. retail sales data ​and the better-than-expected Canadian manufacturing sales data sustain the recent shift in the trend of ‌relative ⁠data surprises ... which will also feed through to the exchange rate," the strategists said.

Canadian factory sales grew 0.1% in June from May, the fifth straight month of gains, while sales volumes were up 1.2%.
Separate data showed wholesale trade ​rising by 2.8% ​in June.

The U.S. dollar ⁠fell against a basket of major currencies after data showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly declined in July.

The price of oil , ​one of Canada's major exports, was trading 0.8% higher ​at $81.88 a ⁠barrel after the U.S. threatened an indefinite naval blockade of Iran, raising concerns about disruptions to crude supplies from the Middle East.

Canadian government bond yields moved ⁠higher across ​a steeper curve, tracking moves in U.S. ​Treasuries. The 10-year was up 5.5 basis points at 3.681%, but holding below the two-year high ​it touched on Tuesday at 3.755%.

Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Paul Simao

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