Dollar hits 17-month high versus euro as bond selloff lifts yields

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a 17-month high against the euro on Thursday amid a selloff in government ‌bonds across the US and Europe, which pushed Treasury yields to fresh peaks as higher oil prices fanned inflation.

The European currency fell below $1.123 for the first time since May 2025 against the dollar, which has been in ascendancy for the past couple of months, thanks in part to the ​largest quarterly rise in Treasury yields since 1994.

The euro was last down 0.79% at $1.1238. It declined nearly 2.5% in ​September, its largest monthly decline since July 2025.

"Higher yields have been driven by a confluence ⁠of factors in particular concern about fiscal policy including some weakness in French bond markets, which may be spilling over ​into global markets, as well as continued concern around energy prices and higher inflation," said Brian Daingerfield, head of G10 FX ​strategy at NatWest Markets.

"There's market expectations for continued tightening from central banks, which includes the Federal Reserve. We've seen a bit of pull back over the last few days specifically after some of the PCE numbers we got yesterday. But I think the broad view is that ​additional Fed tightening is likely coming."

The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes hit its highest level since 2002 on the ​day. It was last down 2.28 basis points to 5.272%.

The euro also sank against the yen and the Swiss franc , and barely held ‌in positive ⁠territory against the pound, as yields on French debt , which have been hounded by worries about France's shaky finances, surged to another 14-year high. Benchmark German debt also came under fire .

Data on Wednesday showed US inflation rose less than expected in August, along with downward revisions to July's figure, which lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike this month . But a surge in euro zone ​inflation underscored the threat that ​higher energy prices continue to ⁠pose to the global economy.

The dollar clocked its sixth straight quarter of gains against a basket of currencies by the end of September, its longest such stretch since 2022 when ​US rates were rising more quickly than those elsewhere . The dollar index was last up ​0.57% on the ⁠day, after hitting its highest level since April 2025.

Global bonds suffered their largest monthly decline in years in September, pushing yields higher, due to a toxic mix of deteriorating government finances, a glut of issuance and rising inflation.

Sterling was down 0.54% at $1.31924 after ⁠having slid ​2.1% last month, but was steady against the euro , which traded at ​its weakest point since late June against the pound, around 85.11 pence.

The Japanese yen weakened 0.11% against the greenback to 157.6 per dollar. The Australian dollar fell ​to a two-month low of $0.69040 after domestic inflation came in below forecasts.

Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York; Editing by Nia Williams

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