Gold hits over two-month low as oil rally fuels inflation worries

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Oct 22 (Reuters) - Gold slipped to its lowest level ‌in more than two months on Thursday, as a rally in oil prices heightened inflation worries ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision next week.

Spot gold slid 1.9% to $4,060.37 per ounce by ​1134 GMT, its lowest level since August 4. US gold futures for December ​delivery fell 1.8% to $4,075.70 per ounce.

"Gold prices can fall further... because ⁠we are still seeing a lot of uncertainty around the energy market," said Soni ​Kumari, analyst at ANZ.

Brent prices rose to their highest since May after more Houthi ​attacks in Saudi Arabia stoked concerns over a broader escalation of conflict and further disruptions to crude oil supplies from the world's key exporting region.

Meanwhile, US consumer and producer inflation data came in hotter than ​expected last week, largely on higher energy costs. That strengthens the case for tighter ​policy, even though Fed officials are still expected to hold off when they meet on October 27-28.

While ‌gold ⁠is typically considered a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates reduce the appeal of the non-yielding asset.

Goldman Sachs expects one more 25-basis-point hike in December, lifting the peak policy rate range to 4.00%-4.25%.

Traders are pricing in an 86% likelihood of a December increase, ​according to CME's FedWatch Tool, opens new tab.

US ​Personal Consumption Expenditures ⁠data, set for release on October 29 and closely watched by the central bank, could give more clues on rate outlook.

"Given ​that the PCE data will show that prices rose at an ​uncomfortably high ⁠pace for the Fed, the FOMC communications may strike a hawkish tone and that could weigh on gold prices," said Hamad Hussain, climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics.

Among ⁠other metals, ​spot silver dropped 3.9% to $55.7225 per ounce, platinum ​slid 2.9% to $1,581.73, its lowest since July 29, while palladium fell 2.5% to $1,059.75 after hitting its lowest level ​since June 2025.

Reporting by Vishak Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Shilpi Majumdar

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