Bitcoin Technical Outlook
Bitcoin remains bullish above the daily TBO Cloud, yet signs of weakening are appearing. The daily RSI formed a lower high on Sunday versus last Wednesday’s 78.08 peak and is now trending toward white support. Volume has normalized below its yellow moving average, and hourly candles display heavy selling wicks since Monday. Our TBT Stop Loss Hunting Alert correctly flagged this whipsaw ahead of the recent pullback.
Daily TBO Resistance at $81,788 held firm on Sunday’s green candle, indicating strong supply at that level. A return to the daily TBO Fast line—currently near $80,000—will test Bitcoin’s ability to defend prior support. A decisive close below would signal a bearish shift, targeting the next support fan around $78,779 (with an intermediate line at $79,180).
Ethereum and Market Dominance Trends
Ethereum rallied above overhead resistance on Sunday but retraced to that level on Monday and today. RSI has slipped below support, suggesting further downside and a potential drop beneath the daily TBO Cloud. ETH/BTC is challenging TBO Support at 0.02857 and may retest weekly support at 0.01854 if current weakness persists.
Combined stablecoin dominance remains bearish under its cloud after slipping to 9.835% support. A deepening Bitcoin decline could push it back into the cloud and above the TBO Fast line, marking a bullish consolidation phase toward our 13% accumulation trigger. Conversely, Bitcoin dominance has printed a TBT bearish divergence on RSI and may fall into its daily cloud. If BTC.D falls while stablecoin dominance rises, we could see a broad market drawdown. Others.D and TOTALES.D also exhibit resistance wicks without closes above key levels, warning of an impending altcoin pullback despite strong Temporary Breakout signals in TOTALE50 and TOTALE100.
Traditional Finance Indices
The US Dollar Index (DXY) battles overhead resistance as daily RSI remains range-bound. USD/JPY is rebounding toward its daily TBO Fast line, challenging Japanese Ministry of Finance intervention hopes. US equity futures continue to surge, with S&P 500 futures and the NASDAQ 100 hitting new all-time highs—NDX RSI closed at 90.52 on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average stalls beneath resistance as its RSI wanes, while the FANG index and NVIDIA post fresh breakouts. GME’s third TBO Close Long warns of a bearish reversal, even as TSLA extends gains. The VIX rose on Monday, signaling some underlying unease.
Commodities and Precious Metals
WTI crude holds its daily TBO Fast line and may attempt a run toward $109 resistance before reverting into its cloud. Gold unexpectedly reached the top of its daily cloud on declining volume and bearish OBV, while silver soared 7% on Monday—its largest move in recent memory. Platinum jumped over 4% above its cloud, and copper rallied more than 3% en route to historical resistance. Uranium printed its second TBO Close Long, warning of potential weakness ahead. Watch Bitcoin/Gold for confirmation of a TBT bearish divergence, now developing its second signal.
Altcoin Highlights and Risks
Among major altcoins, XRP appears to be topping out at another pivot high. BNB’s TBO Resistance between $953 and $671 suggests a sharp drop if today’s candle closes lower. SOL reached its March pivot range—an ideal shorting zone—while TRX and DOGE display emerging TBT bearish divergences. HYPE fell below its first support fan and nears a historical bounce range on RSI. SUI and TON are overbought, CRO tests the cloud’s upper boundary, and PEPE must hold “spaghetti support” to avoid a reversal. ALGO and MORPHO both signal new bearish divergences, with RENDER retreating toward its cloud. JUP and PENGU are losing momentum, MON descends toward its 0.618 Fib level, while AERO and CRV broke out above long-term resistance. Even high-fliers like H—up 25% on Monday—face potential reversal setups.
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