"However, major moves could be visible only after the Fed's policy decision."
On Sunday, the UBS Group AG sealed a deal to buy Credit
Suisse for $3.23 billion, a historic move that was followed by
global central banks assuring markets of adequate dollar
liquidity via standing swap lines. The deal is backed by a Swiss
guarantee and is expected to close by the end of 2023.
Major central banks, including the Fed and the European
Central Bank, released statements to reassure markets. The Fed
offered daily currency swaps to ensure banks in Canada, Britain,
Japan, Switzerland and the euro zone have the dollars needed to
operate.
The move came ahead of the Fed's policy decision due on
Wednesday. Fed funds futures are now pricing in a 45% chance for
a 25 basis-point hike and 55% for rates being left unchanged.
The odds for a 25 bps hike had increased to over 80% last week. The 10-year U.S. yield was at 3.44%, while the two-year
yield, a closer indicator of interest rate expectations, was at
3.88%.
Back home, traders will also await the borrowing calendar
for April-September, which is likely to be announced next week,
followed by the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision
the week after.
Traders said if the Fed goes ahead with a rate hike on
Wednesday, the RBI is likely to increase rate for a seventh
consecutive time to 6.75%.
(Reporting by Dharamraj Dhutia
Editing by Eileen Soreng)