Australian dollar hauled higher by inflation-warning RBA, NZ currency follows

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, May 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar jumped to a two-week high on Friday after the central bank warned of upside risks on inflation, while the kiwi also benefited from wagers on ever-higher domestic interest rates. The Aussie rose 0.6% to $0.6735, breaking through a major resistance level of the 200-day moving average of $0.6730. It had made a modest gain of 0.3% overnight as the prospects of Federal Reserve pausing kept the U.S. dollar in check. The Antipodean was heading for a weekly gain of 1.8%, supported by Tuesday's surprise hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and its Friday warning of the upside risk to inflation after maintaining that it was only projected at the top of a target band of 2% to 3% by mid-2025. The kiwi was up 0.5% at $0.6308, the highest in three weeks, after rallying 0.8% overnight. Strong jobs data on Wednesday added to the case for another interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand this month.


Working against the two currencies are persisting concerns about the health of the U.S. banking sector, which have sent investors scrambling for safe assets.


Analysts at ANZ expect one final hike from the RBA in August, as services inflation is likely to prove sticky and
getting inflation back to target in a reasonable time is key.


"Any easing in rates is some quite considerable time off based on our read of the economy," they told clients in a note on Friday. Markets, however, are wagering rates are at their peak, due in part to renewed banking volatility and even cuts by year-end. Three-year bond yields slid 2 basis points at 2.982%, while ten-years were 2 bps higher at 3.339%. (Reporting by Stella Qiu; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.