S&P 500 hits first intraday record high since US-Iran war

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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April 15 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 (.SPX), touched an intraday record high on Wednesday, its first since the U.S.-Iran conflict began, as hopes of a de-escalation in the war ​and robust earnings expectations drew investors back into risk assets.

Reaching a ‌fresh record during an active geopolitical crisis marked a shift in market positioning, with traders appearing more willing to price in less severe escalation risks, at least in the near term.

U.S. ​President Donald Trump has said talks with Iran to end the war ​could soon resume and result in a deal, after weekend talks ⁠in Islamabad collapsed.

Equity markets had fallen sharply last month when hostilities erupted, unleashing ​a historic shock to oil markets and reviving concerns about inflation and the outlook ​for U.S. interest rates.

The S&P 500 slid as much as 9% after the conflict broke out on February 28, stopping short of confirming a correction. The Nasdaq (.IXIC), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI), both ​confirmed a correction, which is usually defined as an index closing at least ​10% below a recent record high.

Markets have also drawn support from expectations of a strong ‌corporate earnings ⁠season. Executives at big banks said the U.S. consumer remained resilient despite the oil shock, and the pipeline for deals and IPOs was robust.

Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to earn a combined $605.1 billion for the first three months of the year, up ​from $598.7 billion forecast at the start ​of the quarter, ⁠according to data compiled by LSEG.

A string of brokerages have viewed the selloff as an opportunity to snap up equities at ​a bargain as the conflict brought valuations down to more ​reasonable levels.

But ⁠the prospect of renewed escalation in the conflict continues to loom, with any flare-up likely to test the market's recent confidence.

And even if risks stemming from geopolitics fade, concerns ⁠that ​dominated sentiment before the war could re-emerge, particularly ​fears about disruption linked to artificial intelligence.

Private credit firms have also been contending with redemption risk as ​nervous investors head for exits.

Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar

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