Mapping the Market: Rebounding Nasdaq eyes record territory

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Mapping the Market: Rebounding Nasdaq eyes record territory teaser image

June 17 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq Composite — the index most closely associated with technology stocks — has staged an impressive comeback after a bruising stretch, and charts indicate that the ​path of least resistance may now be pointing higher.

The index closed Monday at 26,683.94, capping a surge of more than 3% in a single session — its best one-day performance since March 31. That date was itself a turning point: the moment ​the Nasdaq emerged from a correction that had dragged it lower from October ​through March. On Tuesday, it gave back just over 1% to end ⁠at 26,376.34, according to data supplied by LSEG.

Still, the recovery has been swift enough ​to put record highs within arm's reach. The Nasdaq now sits about 2.7% below its ​all-time closing high, set on June 2, and 3% below its peak intraday level from June 1. In market terms, that's close enough to reach in a relatively short period of trade.

The 50-day moving ​average — a closely watched measure of medium-term trend — has proven to be a reliable floor, ​with buyers stepping in near that level multiple times during the recent pullback. That kind of repeated ‌defense ⁠of a support level is generally seen as a bullish signal.

If the Nasdaq does push through to new highs, the next test for bulls would be channel resistance just below 28,000 — essentially a ceiling built into the chart's recent trading pattern. On the downside, the ​20-day moving average near ​26,350 offers the ⁠first layer of support, with the sturdier 50-day average around 25,400 acting as a deeper safety net. A close below that 50-day ​line would be a warning sign worth heeding.

For now, momentum appears ​to be on ⁠the bulls' side.

What the chart shows:

Strong single-day rebound of more than 3%, the biggest since March 31

Record highs within striking distance, about 2.7% away

Key support at the 50-day moving average near ⁠25,400; ​resistance above at the 28,000 channel ceiling

(Daily markets commentary ​from Reuters analysts on the signals financial charts are sending - and what they might mean.)

Terence Gabriel is a Reuters ​market analyst. The views expressed are his own. Editing by Burton Frierson and Jamie Freed

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