CPM Gold Trade Recommendation
Time Stamp
Prices as of 11:31 a.m. EDT 8 September 2025 $3,674.80 (Basis the December 2025 Comex contract).
Recommendation: Buy
Initial Target Price / Range: $3,700
Initial Timeframe: 8 September 2025 to 12 September 2025
Stop Loss: $3,630
Gold prices set a new record high price today, $3,685.70. Prices have eased since then but remain in an uptrend.
Market participants appear to be reluctant to be short gold and appear to be establishing long positions when there are price dips. This suggests gold could continue to set record highs this week.
The same political, economic, and financial concerns mentioned in the previous Trade Recommendations and in CPM reports continue to support gold prices higher. This said, there is potential for a sell-off. If U.S. inflation data, due for release later this week, comes in stronger than expected it could be the trigger for such a sell-off. Much of the gains have been premised on expectations of lower rates, and a higher inflation reading would act as a dampener on these expectations. This could result in a short-term shallow decline, with inflation itself, coupled with numerous other political and economic factors acting as good reasons for investors to buy the dip. Furthermore, when prices rise so sharply there is bound to be a correction. This is why the stop loss is moved higher as gold prices rise, so not to lose the gains made in the uptrend.
CPM has one-month, three-month ranges and eight-quarter quarterly price projections with greater discussion of the factors behind CPM’s analyses provided in CPM’s monthly subscription service, the Precious Metals Advisory.
While short-term trade recommendations provide high risk – high reward opportunities for investors, it is difficult to capture the complex web of factors affecting precious metals prices and the nuanced CPM analyses of these factors that goes into our firm’s price projections. In addition to these short-term outlooks, CPM Group provides clients enhanced trade recommendations that include one and three month price projections, as part of our Retail Investor Program. Contact CPM at info@cpmgroup.com for details.
Notes:
Initial Target Prices and Timeframes are just that: Initial. If CPM does not issue a new Recommendation during or after that time it indicates that CPM maintains the posture in the most recent Trade Recommendation. Position may be closed out once target price is reached, within the noted discretion or until CPM provides new trade recommendation. CPM may have reported to have closed out of prior trade recommendation at its discretion before publicly publishing new trade recommendation due to processing time.
Discretion should be allowed at +/- 0.20% of the price at the time each TR is issued from the target.
CPM’s preferred investment strategies use physical, futures, forwards, and options.
