off-the-wire

China's yuan off one-month low on signs of de-escalation in Sino-U.S. tensions

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
SHANGHAI, Feb 7 (Reuters) - China's yuan edged higher on Tuesday from a one-month low against the dollar hit a day earlier, supported by signs of de-escalation in Sino-U.S. tensions. Currency traders said market sentiment improved as both Beijing and Washington appeared to show willingness to de-escalate after U.S. President Joe Biden said on Monday that bilateral relations had not been weakened by the United States' downing of a suspected Chinese spy balloon over the weekend. "China seems to be keen on easing tensions but any escalation from the U.S. side would weigh on the yuan and weaken regional currencies," analysts at Maybank said in a note. "We keep a glass half-full view on this incident." Before the market opening, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the midpoint rate at a fresh one-month low of 6.7967 per dollar, 230 pips or 0.34% weaker than the previous fix of 6.7737.


In the spot market, the onshore yuan bounced from a near one-month low of 6.8077 per dollar a day earlier and was changing hands at 6.7818 at midday, 170 pips firmer than the previous late-session close. Traders said signs of easing in Sino-U.S. tensions supported the yuan in morning deals, while their corporate clients' interest in taking advantage of recent dollar strength and converting their FX receipts also underpinned the local currency. In global markets, the dollar hovered near a one-month peak as traders raised their forecasts of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate levels needed to tame inflation, as a stubbornly resilient labour market remains largely immune to aggressive rate hikes. Investors will quickly shift their attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later in the session for more clues on monetary tightening trajectory following last week's U.S. economic data. By midday, the global dollar index stood at 103.454, while the offshore yuan was trading at 6.7862 per dollar.


The one-year forward value for the offshore yuan traded at 6.6353 per dollar, indicating a roughly 2.27% appreciation within 12 months. The yuan market at 0334 GMT:


ONSHORE SPOT: Item Current Previous Change PBOC midpoint 6.7967 6.7737 -0.34% Spot yuan 6.7818 6.7988 0.25% Divergence from -0.22%
midpoint*
Spot change YTD 1.74% Spot change since 2005 22.04% revaluation


Key indexes: Item Current Previous Change



Dollar index 103.454 103.621 -0.2
*Divergence of the dollar/yuan exchange rate. Negative number indicates that spot yuan is trading stronger than the midpoint. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) allows the exchange rate to rise or fall 2% from official midpoint rate it sets each morning. OFFSHORE CNH MARKET
Instrument Current Difference from onshore Offshore spot yuan 6.7862 -0.06%
*
Offshore 6.643 2.31% non-deliverable
forwards
**

*Premium for offshore spot over onshore
**Figure reflects difference from PBOC's official midpoint, since non-deliverable forwards are settled against the midpoint. .
(Reporting by Shanghai Newsroom)

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