UPDATE 2-Polish c.bank sticks to its message on CPI as rates stay put

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
(Adds details from central bank's press release) By Anna Koper WARSAW, Feb 8 (Reuters) - The National Bank of Poland (NBP) left its main interest rate unchanged at 6.75% as expected on Wednesday, remaining in wait-and-see mode as it assesses the damage to the economy caused by the war in Ukraine. With inflation in emerging Europe's largest economy starting to ease and the economy expected to slow significantly in 2023, markets' focus has now turned to when the cost of credit will start to fall. The central bank reiterated its view that a global economic slowdown and rate hikes from major central banks will help curb inflation in Poland. "Under such circumstances, the hitherto significant monetary policy tightening by NBP will support a decline in inflation in Poland towards the NBP inflation target," it said in a statement, sticking to the wording of previous press releases. The NBP targets inflation of 2.5%, plus or minus one percentage point. "Although the MPC has not formally ended the hike cycle, it has made it clear many times in recent months that the current level of interest rates is adequate in its opinion," said Piotr Bielski, director of the economic analysis department of Santander Bank Polska. "The Monetary Policy Council (MPC) will probably wait until the publication of data from early 2023 and new projections to make a deeper assessment of the situation." Analysts polled by Reuters expect interest rates to stay on hold until the end of 2023. A news conference with central bank governor Adam Glapinski scheduled for Thursday will be closely watched for signs of when rates could start to come down. Other central banks in the region have also ended the tightening cycles they started in 2021. Romania, whose central bank hiked the main rate by 25 basis points to 7.00% in January, is expected to keep borrowing costs stable at its meeting on Thursday. (Reporting by Alan Charlish, Anna Koper, Pawel Florkiewicz, Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk, Editing by Tomasz Janowski and Jonathan Oatis)

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