FOREX-U.S. dollar tumbles as Fed outlook weigh, Sweden's crown surges after rate hike

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
(Recasts, adds new comment, U.S. data, NEW YORK dateline, FX table, bullets, updates prices) By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Feb 9 (Reuters) -


The U.S. dollar fell across the board on Thursday, moving in line with lower Treasury yields, as investors stuck to their views that the Federal Reserve does not need to raise interest rates any more than it should as inflation is starting to get under control.


The Swedish crown, on the other hand, soared after the country's central bank raised rates, forecast further hikes and said it wanted a stronger currency, adding to the dollar's woes.


A higher-than expected U.S. jobless claims number further compounded the dollar's losses, as the report suggested labor market weakness that can help bring down inflation.



Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 196,000 for the week ended Feb. 4, data showed. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 190,000 claims for the latest week.


"We had a big buildup in dollar shorts and lot of that has been unwound. Then (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell and other Fed officials spoke and there was some relief in the sense that they repeated the upside risks, but they did not signal any imminent increase in the terminal rate," said Vassili Serebriakov, FX strategist at UBS in New York, referring to the peak federal funds rate.


"Investors are still hesitant to go back into dollar shorts before the CPI (consumer price index) report. There's a lot of focus on CPI to see whether Powell's disinflation story holds."


Powell had said on Tuesday and last week that disinflation, or a deceleration in the rise of overall prices, has started.


In late morning trading, the dollar index fell 0.7% to 102.74 . The euro , the biggest component in the dollar index, climbed 0.6% to $1.078, while sterling rose 0.9% to $1.2179 , with both boosted by improving risk sentiment across markets.


The dollar was last down 2% against the Swedish crown at 10.31 while the euro dropped 2% as well to 11.11, set for its biggest daily percentage fall since 2009, after the Riksbank raised its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 3%, and forecast more increases in the spring. The central bank also said a stronger currency would be desirable to bring down inflation.


Elsewhere, the Australian dollar , often seen as a proxy for risk sentiment, rose 0.8% to US$0.6973 as the safe-haven U.S. currency dipped in line with a rally in equities and other so-called "risk-friendly" assets, helped by strong company earnings. The dollar fell 0.4% against the Japanese yen to 130.92 . Japan's government is planning to present the new Bank of Japan governor nominee to parliament on Feb. 14, broadcaster TBS reported on Thursday. Markets are closely watching the appointment, as the new governor's agenda will be scrutinized as to how quickly the central bank could phase out its massive stimulus. ======================================================== Currency bid prices at 10:52AM (1552 GMT) Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change


Session
Dollar index 102.8800 103.4500 -0.54% -0.589% +103.5600 +102.6300 Euro/Dollar $1.0765 $1.0714 +0.48% +0.47% +$1.0791 +$1.0707 Dollar/Yen 130.8850 131.4550 -0.43% -0.17% +131.8200 +130.3400 Euro/Yen 140.90 140.79 +0.08% +0.43% +141.3200 +140.6300 Dollar/Swiss 0.9190 0.9209 -0.20% -0.60% +0.9218 +0.9160 Sterling/Dollar $1.2165 $1.2074 +0.77% +0.60% +$1.2194 +$1.2064 Dollar/Canadian 1.3413 1.3447 -0.25% -1.00% +1.3459 +1.3373 Aussie/Dollar $0.6968 $0.6924 +0.62% +2.21% +$0.7011 +$0.6922 Euro/Swiss 0.9894 0.9866 +0.28% -0.01% +0.9902 +0.9862 Euro/Sterling 0.8847 0.8874 -0.30% +0.03% +0.8886 +0.8847 NZ $0.6355 $0.6307 +0.75% +0.08% +$0.6389 +$0.6304 Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 10.1145 10.3115 -1.91% +3.07% +10.3165 +10.0990 Euro/Norway 10.8899 11.0674 -1.60% +3.78% +11.0712 +10.8852 Dollar/Sweden 10.3037 10.5869 -2.20% -1.00% +10.6155 +10.2958 Euro/Sweden 11.0933 11.3430 -2.20% -0.51% +11.3510 +11.0870 <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York and Alun John in London; Additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore and Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Kim Coghill, Arun Koyyur, Emelia Sithole-Matarise and Jonathan Oatis)

rm://gertrude.chavez.reuters.com@reuters.net))
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