*
Target gains after upbeat holiday-quarter sales
*
Goldman mulls 'strategic alternatives' for consumer
business
*
Norwegian Cruise slides after forecast disappoints
*
Dow down 0.42%, S&P 500 up 0.14%, Nasdaq up 0.47%
(Updates to mid-afternoon, changes byline)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Feb 28 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks were subdued on
the final trading day of February, leaving each of the three
major indexes poised to close with monthly declines, as
investors continue to assess the likelihood of high interest
rates for an extended period of time.
After a strong performance in January, stocks retreated in
February as economic data and comments from U.S. Federal Reserve
officials forced market participants to recalibrate the odds the
central bank would hike rates and keep them elevated more than
was initially expected.
"The market in many ways expected things to go south more quickly, forcing the Fed to pivot, or pause, or cut rates sooner than the Fed was saying," said Johan Grahn, head ETF market strategist at Allianz Investment Management in Minneapolis.
"The staying power of the Fed is much more determined and steadfast than the staying power of investors so it’s back to the old mantra of do you really want to fight the Fed on this and in this case it is still a mistake to try and do that." The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 137.91 points, or 0.42%, to 32,751.18, the S&P 500 gained 5.66 points, or 0.14%, to 3,987.9 and the Nasdaq Composite added 54.39 points, or 0.47%, to 11,521.37. Traders have started to price in the chances of a bigger 50 basis-point rate hike in March, although the odds remain low at about 23%, according to Fed fund futures, which suggest rates peaking at 5.4% by September, up from 4.57% now. BofA Global Research warned the Fed could even hike interest rates to nearly 6%. Economic data on Tuesday, however showed a reading of consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in February, while a gauge of home prices slowed further in December.
The blue-chip Dow dipped on Tuesday, weighed down by a 3.01% drop in Goldman Sachs after Chief Executive David Solomon said the bank is considering "strategic alternatives" for its consumer business.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 0.2 basis points at 4.795%. Yields eased from their highs of the day following the economic data and helped boost the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
Volatility has been common since the Fed began its rate hiking cycle last year. The S&P 500 has seen 18 sessions with gains or losses of at least 1% this year, equal to the first two months of 2022, which eventually saw 122 such trading days on the year.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the Fed must supplement traditional government data and readings from financial markets with real-time, on-the-ground observations of economic conditions if it is to make good policy, and not rely on market reactions.
Meta Platforms rose 4.17% after the Facebook parent said it was creating a new top-level product group focused on generative artificial intelligence.
Target Corp gained 2.49% after the big-box retailer
reported a surprise rise in holiday-quarter sales but cautioned
on 2023 earnings due to an uncertain U.S. economy.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd plunged 12.06%
after the cruise operator's full-year profit forecast fell short
of estimates. It attributes the squeeze to soaring fuel and
labor costs.
Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a
1.32-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored advancers.
The S&P 500 posted 9 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the
Nasdaq Composite recorded 73 new highs and 79 new lows.
(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Aurora Ellis)
