Nationwide chief economist Robert Gardner said the market would struggle to recover in the near term given the risk of a recession, and mortgage payments were well above their average as a share of take-home pay. "However, conditions should gradually improve if inflation moderates in the coming months as expected, easing pressure on household budgets," Gardner said.
"Solid gains in nominal incomes together with weak or
declining house prices will also support housing affordability,
especially if mortgage rates edge lower in the coming months."
Nationwide forecast in December that house prices would fall
5% in 2023.
A Reuters poll of analysts published on Tuesday showed
British home prices were expected to fall by 2.4% in 2023, less
than previously expected as a resilient job market and easing
recession fears softened the blow from higher borrowing costs.
The Bank of England was due to report on the number of
mortgage approvals in January at 0930 GMT on Wednesday after
they sank to their lowest level since the global financial
crisis in December, excluding the very start of the COVID-19
pandemic when there were strict lockdown restrictions.
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
UK house prices fall for sixth month in a row in monthly terms ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
(Reporting by William Schomberg; editing by William James and
Raissa Kasolowsky)