EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies up as dollar weakens ahead of Powell's testimony

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters



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Colombia's consumer prices rise 1.66% in Feb

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Brazil's Azul gains on upbeat outlook

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Chile's Costa sees more time for inflation to reach target

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Inflation data from Brazil, Mexico, Chile due this week

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Latam FX up 0.7%, stocks up 0.8%

(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments) By Amruta Khandekar and Ankika Biswas March 6 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies gained steam against a softer dollar on Monday, the eve of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony which investors will watch for clues on future U.S. rate hikes, with Colombia's peso rising for the fourth straight session. MSCI's index for Latam currencies was up 0.7% by 2014 GMT while the broader EM currencies gauge was flat. Powell is set to testify before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Investors will watch for clues on monetary policy plans. In February, concern that U.S. interest rates would stay higher for longer hurt risk sentiment. Recent commentary from other Fed officials has calmed jitters, with markets now pricing in three 25-basis-point rate hikes. "We are moving towards an expectation for tighter rates," said Cristian Maggio, head of portfolio strategy at TD Securities. "There could be a risk that (Powell's) rhetoric will push interest rates to the upside." The Chilean peso was up 0.7%, with central bank Chief Rosanna Costa highlighting that rising consumer prices have not yet reached the target, further tempering expectations of interest rate cuts. The Colombian peso rose 1.7% against the dollar to hit a one-month high. Colombia's consumer prices rose 1.66% in February, the country's DANE statistics agency announced on Saturday, taking cumulative 12-month price growth to 13.28%. The Brazilian real was flat, while Mexico's peso slipped 0.3% from five-year highs touched in the previous session driven by a widening rate differential between Banxico and the Fed. The Chilean peso rose 0.7% against the greenback. Argentina's Economy Minister Sergio Massa said the country is launching a voluntary swap program of domestic debt, aimed to "give predictability" to the market with "allied banks" to improve access to credit. Investors await inflation data from Chile, Brazil and Mexico this week as they try to gauge how close central banks in the region are to ending their tightening cycle. Latam stocks were up 0.8%, with Argentina's Merval index rising 2.7%. The inflation rate in Argentina is seen hitting 99.9% in 2023, speeding up from last year's rate and topping previous estimates which saw a slightly slower rise, according to a central bank poll of analysts released Friday.


Brazil's Bovespa edged 0.8% higher, boosted by an 40.8% advance in Azul SA after the airline projected positive cash flow in 2024 and beyond. Mining stocks like Vale SA fell tracking lower metal prices after China set a modest target for economic growth this year of around 5%.


Shares of Azul's peer Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA also jumped 24.2%. Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 2014 GMT:


Stock indexes Latest Daily % change MSCI Emerging Markets 993.53 0.56 MSCI LatAm 2233.07 0.8
Brazil Bovespa 104770.67 0.87
Mexico IPC 53955.40 -0.42
Chile IPSA 5427.52 -0.22 Argentina MerVal 252470.50 2.687
Colombia COLCAP 1225.17 0.87 Currencies Latest Daily % change Brazil real 5.1654 0.07
Mexico peso 18.0072 -0.36
Chile peso 797.8 0.73
Colombia peso 4702.25 1.75 Peru sol 3.77 0.03
Argentina peso (interbank) 199.3400 -0.53 Argentina peso (parallel) 368 1.90 (Reporting by Amruta Khandekar; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise and David Gregorio)

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