FOREX-Dollar down as investors digest Credit Suisse rescue, eye US regional banks

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
(Updates prices, adds analyst quote) By Hannah Lang WASHINGTON, March 20 (Reuters) - The dollar slid on Monday as investors reacted to UBS' cut-price takeover of its beleaguered rival Credit Suisse . UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse on Sunday for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.23 billion) and assume up to $5.4 billion in losses, in a shotgun merger engineered by Swiss authorities. The U.S. dollar index - which measures the currency against six major peers - was last down 0.501% at 103.270 the day after the merger was announced, touching its lowest level since Feb. 15.


Meanwhile, growth assets such as bitcoin enjoyed a bounce. The world's largest cryptocurrency hit a nine-month high on Monday and last rose 4.62% to $28,065.00. "I think whenever people feel like you don't have to do a flight to quality, the dollar is going to take a hit," said Thomas Anderson, managing director at moneycorp North America.


Also weighing on the dollar are concerns about regional U.S. banks, despite several large banks depositing $30 billion last week into First Republic Bank , the U.S. lender drawing the most unease from investors. First Republic shares tumbled as much as 50% on Monday and were last down about 39%. "In particular, there are risks developing, or at least some degree of uncertainty, with the regional U.S. banks that I think are weighing on U.S. assets at this point as well," said Bipan Rai, North America head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto. Under the UBS-Credit Suisse deal, holders of $17 billion of Credit Suisse Additional Tier-1 (AT1) bonds will be wiped out. That angered some of the holders of the debt, who thought they would be better protected than shareholders, and unnerved investors in other banks' AT1 bonds. The euro was last up 0.54% against the dollar at $1.0724, while the British pound was last trading at $1.2281, up 0.87% on the day.


The dollar rose 0.24% against the Swiss franc at 0.928.


ALL EYES ON THE FED


The Federal Reserve's latest decision on interest rate hikes is due on Wednesday and adds an additional layer of uncertainty for investors.


Rates currently stand at 4.5% to 4.75%. Traders now expect a peak in rates in May at around 4.8%, followed by a steady series of cuts into the end of the year, but will be closely watching the forecast for future rate moves that the Fed is expected to unveil on Wednesday.


"The path of least regret, at least from our view, is to keep (forecasts) consistent with where they were in December. Given that the risks have now risen to the domestic financial sector, I think that's probably the prudent course of action for them," Rai said.


The Japanese yen - long seen as a safe haven at times of stress - strengthened 0.28% versus the greenback at 131.47 per dollar.


Australia's dollar rose 0.33% versus the greenback at $0.672, while the Canadian dollar rose 0.52% versus the greenback at 1.37 per dollar. ======================================================== Currency bid prices at 2:50PM (1850 GMT) Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change


Session
Dollar index 103.2700 103.8000 -0.50% -0.213% +103.9600 +103.2700 Euro/Dollar $1.0724 $1.0667 +0.54% +0.09% +$1.0731 +$1.0632 Dollar/Yen 131.4600 131.8500 -0.29% +0.28% +132.6400 +130.5500 Euro/Yen 141.00 140.62 +0.27% +0.50% +141.7400 +138.8400 Dollar/Swiss 0.9282 0.9259 +0.23% +0.37% +0.9312 +0.9222 Sterling/Dollar $1.2283 $1.2181 +0.83% +1.56% +$1.2284 +$1.2169 Dollar/Canadian 1.3658 1.3736 -0.55% +0.82% +1.3746 +1.3652 Aussie/Dollar $0.6718 $0.6699 +0.28% -1.45% +$0.6740 +$0.6666 Euro/Swiss 0.9953 0.9877 +0.77% +0.59% +0.9955 +0.9859 Euro/Sterling 0.8729 0.8755 -0.30% -1.30% +0.8769 +0.8729 NZ $0.6250 $0.6267 -0.28% -1.57% +$0.6306 +$0.6230 Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 10.6360 10.7150 -0.60% +8.53% +10.7850 +10.6360 Euro/Norway 11.4089 11.3970 +0.10% +8.72% +11.4779 +11.3834 Dollar/Sweden 10.3621 10.5006 -0.74% -0.44% +10.5411 +10.3630 Euro/Sweden 11.1140 11.1971 -0.74% -0.32% +11.2295 +11.1140



<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Fed currency swaps have seen little recent use ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Hannah Lang in Washington; Editing by Ed Osmond, Christina Fincher, Andrea Ricci and Alison Williams)

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