TOKYO, April 9 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan will likely
modify or end its bond yield control policy due to increasing
side-effects such as the hit to financial institutions' profits,
former deputy governor Hiroshi Nakaso told a newspaper interview
published on Sunday.
The massive stimulus deployed by Haruhiko Kuroda, whose term
as governor ended on Saturday, helped end deflation but failed
to sustainably achieve the central bank's 2% price goal because
inflation expectations remained low, Nakaso was quoted as saying
in an interview with the Nikkei newspaper.
As a result, the BOJ had to sustain ultra-loose policy for a
prolonged period despite rising costs such as the pain on banks
and dysfunction caused in the bond market, he said.
"The increasing side-effects are a sign the policy effect
(of YCC) is working its way through the economy," Nakaso said.
"When the appropriate timing comes, the BOJ's new leadership
will likely modify or abolish YCC," or yield curve control.
The next challenge will be to end negative interest rates
and start a full-fledged policy normalisation, Nakaso said.
There need to be clear signs Japan's output gap is improving
and wages would rise sustainably for the BOJ to abandon negative
rates, he said.
"The BOJ will make the appropriate decision when it confirms
that the momentum for hitting 2% inflation can be sustained," he
said on the expected timing of an end to negative rates.
Under YCC, the BOJ guides short-term interest rates at -0.1%
and caps the 10-year bond yield around zero as part of efforts
to sustainably hit 2% inflation.
Markets are rife with speculation that the BOJ will tweak or
end YCC under Kazuo Ueda, who became its governor on Sunday, as
inflation exceeds 2% and the central bank's huge bond buying
draws criticism for distorting market pricing.
Nakaso, who had been considered among candidates to succeed
Kuroda, served as deputy BOJ governor for five years until 2018.
(Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by Leslie Adler)
Messaging: leika.kihara.reuters.com@reuters.net))
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