Rising odds of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate hike in May could
set Indian shares for a flat start to Monday, after domestic
markets rose following a surprise pause in rate hikes by the
Reserve Bank of India last week.
The Nifty 50 has risen in each of past five sessions, up nearly 4% during the period. Investors await the corporate earnings for the quarter-ended March, scheduled to begin this week.
India's NSE stock futures listed on the Singapore exchange were down 0.06% at 17,705 as of 8:00 a.m. IST. Wall Street equities rose on Thursday in a truncated week, ahead of U.S. jobs data, which was released on Friday.
Data indicated that the labour market remained tight in March, but was largely in-line with expectations and increased the probability of a Fed rate hike in May. The market is pricing in 68.3% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 49.2% on Thursday, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. Asian markets are off to a subdued start to the week. The surprise pause in rate hike and the upgrade to FY2024 growth forecast by the RBI on Thursday is seen as a positive by analysts.
"Rate pause and encouraging domestic data continues to provide positive undertone to the market," said Siddhartha Khemka, head - retail research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services. India's consumer inflation likely eased in March to 5.80%, dipping below the RBI's upper tolerance limit for the first time in 2023, according to a Reuters poll of economists. The data is due on Wednesday, post market hours. Meanwhile, foreign investors extended their buying streak to the sixth session in a row on Thursday, adding 4.76 billion rupees ($58.18 million) worth of equities.
Stocks to Watch:
** Titan : Co's revenue grew by 25% YoY in Q4.
** Tata Motors : Group's global wholesales at
361,361 in Q4FY2023; JLR sales rise in fourth quarter as chip
supply continues to recover.
** Adani Wilmar : Co sees volume growth of close to
14% YoY in FY2023.
** Rail Vikas Nigam : Co emerges as lowest bidder
for project worth 3.78 billion Rupees. ($1 = 81.8180 Indian rupees)
(Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; Editing by
Nivedita Bhattacharjee)
