TREASURIES-Short-term yields flat as debt negotiations continue; 10-year yields dip

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
(Adds analyst quote, updates market activity, updates headline) By David Randall NEW YORK, April 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields eased Monday after data suggested that inflation and economic activity slowed in March, though investors appeared increasingly concerned about a potential standoff over the U.S. debt ceiling. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index slipped 0.19 in March, the same decline it posted in February, and slightly above market expectations for a 0.20 decline.


The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was down 5.7 basis points to 3.515%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was down 5 basis points to 3.728%.


Yields have dipped since mid-April as investors prepare for the Federal Reserve's next policy meeting, scheduled for May 3, in which the central bank is expected to increase its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a range of 5% to 5.25%. Fed members are now in a so-called quiet period before the meeting, leaving markets with fewer clues into their views on the direction of the economy. Yet three-month bills, which would be more directly affected by a standoff over raising the debt ceiling, were flat at 5.11%. The House is expected to vote on a Republican-led debt and spending bill this week.


"People are focusing increasingly week to week on the summer and the debt ceiling deadline, and that is increasingly impacting what could be some idiosyncratic moves in the Treasury market," said Fran Rodilosso, Head of Fixed Income ETF Portfolio Management at VanEck. "There's a growing sense that there's not a lot of common ground this time." A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes , seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was at -63.5 basis points.


The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was down 4.2 basis points at 4.148%.


April 24 Monday 10:40AM New York / 1440 GMT Price Current Net Yield % Change (bps) Three-month bills 4.98 5.11 -0.007 Six-month bills 4.86 5.062 -0.001 Two-year note 99-125/256 4.1521 -0.038 Three-year note 99-186/256 3.8479 -0.048 Five-year note 100-14/256 3.6124 -0.053 Seven-year note 100-90/256 3.567 -0.053 10-year note 99-208/256 3.5223 -0.050 20-year bond 100-56/256 3.8588 -0.048 30-year bond 98-16/256 3.7331 -0.045
DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS


Last (bps) Net


Change


(bps)
U.S. 2-year dollar swap 27.25 0.25
spread
U.S. 3-year dollar swap 18.00 0.75
spread
U.S. 5-year dollar swap 7.50 0.00
spread
U.S. 10-year dollar swap -0.50 -0.25
spread
U.S. 30-year dollar swap -41.25 -0.50
spread



(Reporting by David Randall; editing by Jonathan Oatis, Kirsten Donovan)

Messaging: david.randall.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
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