Gold on track for best month in four as inflation data bolsters rate cut bets

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Gold on track for best month in four as inflation data bolsters rate cut bets teaser image

Aug 29 (Reuters) - Gold prices held steady on Friday and were poised for their best monthly performance since April, as U.S. inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates next month.

Spot gold was up 0.5% at $3,433.99 per ounce, as of 10:20 a.m. ET (14:20 GMT). Bullion has gained 4.4% in August so far.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery rose 0.7% to $3,497.30.

The dollar (.DXY), held steady, but was set for a monthly drop of 2.1%. A lower dollar makes gold less expensive for overseas buyers.

U.S. consumer spending increased solidly in July while underlying inflation picked up as tariffs on imports raised prices of some goods.

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures Price index rose 0.2% month-on-month, and was up 2.6% on a year-on-year basis - both in line with expectations.

"We have expectations of a Fed rate cut, or potentially two, throughout this year, (which is) generally supportive for commodity prices across the board, including gold and silver," said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.

Traders increased their bets on a 25-basis point rate cut by the U.S. central bank at the September policy meeting to an 89% probability, up from 85% before the data. FEDWATCH

Non-yielding gold typically performs well in a low-interest-rate environment.

Meanwhile, a federal judge on Friday will consider whether to block President Donald Trump temporarily from firing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook while she pursues a lawsuit claiming Trump has no valid reason to remove her.

"Gold is benefiting from this uncertainty (around Fed independence), as shown by inflows into gold ETFs of just under 15 tons in the last two days. Nevertheless, the upside for gold above $3,400 is looking increasingly limited," Commerzbank said in a note.

Spot silver added 0.2% to $39.14 per ounce and gained for the fourth straight month.

Platinum fell 0.9% to $1,347.77, but was on track for monthly gains, while palladium was also down 0.9% at $1,092.18, heading for a monthly loss.

Reporting by Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy Leo

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