Pound heads for biggest gain in three weeks after US/Iran ceasefire

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Pound heads for biggest gain in three weeks after US/Iran ceasefire teaser image

LONDON, April 8 (Reuters) - The pound headed for its biggest one-day gain in three weeks on Wednesday, after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire ​that ignited a surge of optimism across global markets as oil ‌prices slid.

Sterling is just 0.4% below where it was prior to the start of the conflict in late February and was last up 1% on the day ​at $1.342, the highest since March 23.

Brent crude futures fell by as ​much as 16% in early trading, as investors welcomed the ⁠prospect of a sustained truce that might allow the resumption of flows ​of marine traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has effectively ​blocked since the start of the war.

Money markets showed traders have scaled back their bets on a series of rate hikes by the big central banks this year. ​Prior to the announcement, traders were pricing in the prospect of at ​least two rate hikes by the Bank of England this year. That has now ‌been ⁠brought back to just one hike in 2026, with an outside chance of a second .

Against the euro , the pound was marginally stronger on the day, as the single European currency traded down 0.2% at 87.12 pence, which ​ING strategist Chris ​Turner was a ⁠little surprising, given that investors have not cut back their expectations for the European Central Bank quite as ​aggressively as for the BoE, which in theory, would ​give the ⁠euro a lift.

"One might have thought EUR/GBP could be trading a little higher were Bank of England policy tightening to be priced out more quickly ⁠than that ​of the ECB. Still, EUR/GBP continues to ​trade over 0.8700 and should find good support on dips," he said.

Reporting by Amanda Cooper Editing by Keith Weir

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