Canadian dollar hits five-week high as Mideast hopes offset CPI data

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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TORONTO, April 20 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened to a five-week high against its U.S. ‌counterpart on Monday as investors remained hopeful of a diplomatic solution to the war in the Middle East and despite domestic data that showed inflation heating up less than expected.

The loonie was trading ​0.4% higher at 1.3640 per U.S. dollar, or 73.31 U.S. cents, after touching ​its strongest intraday level since March 13 at 1.3636.

"The market appears ⁠to be keeping an optimistic tone with respect to a potential deal between the ​U.S. and Iran," said George Davis, chief technical strategist at RBC Capital Markets. "This has tempered ​demand for USD versus CAD."

The safe-haven U.S. dollar (.DXY), reversed earlier gains against a basket of major currencies which it had made following renewed tensions between Washington and Tehran over the weekend. Stocks on Wall Street ​largely held on to last week's strong gains.

Still, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz ​remained largely halted which helped lift the price of oil, one of Canada's major exports. U.S. crude futures ‌settled ⁠6.9% higher at $89.61 a barrel.

Canada's annual inflation rate rose to 2.4% in March from 1.8% in February as higher crude oil costs drove up gasoline prices. Analysts had expected inflation to climb to 2.6%.

"The jump in headline inflation wasn't quite as high as expected, ​and core measures continued ​to show little ⁠sign of inflationary pressure outside of the surge in fuel prices," Andrew Grantham, a senior economist at CIBC Capital Markets, said in ​a note.

"We continue to see the Bank of Canada holding ​interest rates ⁠at their current level throughout 2026."

A survey from the central bank showed that Canadian business sentiment had started to rise before the war, but a smaller sample of firms exposed to the ⁠conflict ​later indicated many expected higher input prices.

Canadian bond yields ​edged lower across the curve even as yields across much of the U.S. curve moved higher. The Canadian ​2-year was down 1.4 basis points at 2.762%.

Reporting by Fergal Smith, editing by Deepa Babington

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