Back to cautious buying

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By Monica Kingsley
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S&P 500 bears were winning till services PMI, which turned equally much the Nasdaq around too, delivered very risk-on sectoral showing. ADP employment change was all right, I looked for a strong beat, but expected the same from services PMI given the earlier successful call for manufacturing PMI to overcome expectations. So, only our swing trading longs were rewarded while I managed to score a Wed draw (B/E total) in the intraday channel.

Gold did break above my $2,300 and even if it consolidates today, that‘s not the end of the ride. Its appreciation reflects virtual certainty of most if not all major central banks going the rate cutting route while inflation remains closer to 3% than 2% in the trough, and it can be considered as the select route of devaluation that happens against real asset(s) not other currencies, but against gold. Silver has been beautifully catching up in percentage appreciation, mimicking my bullish copper weekend and earlier calls.

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Gold, Silver and Miners

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What  I wrote yesterdaty of rising odds of a consolidation, applies today more so, and instead of the projected slower pace of appreciation, the buyers will get tested. But it won‘t mark a top, and silver with copper would do better than gold.

Crude Oil

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Crude oil saw an upswing rejection, but the resulting follow through wouldn‘t take it far from $85 – the upswing hasn‘t yet ended, but those waiting to buy the dip at $85, will soon get an aopportunity. This is the fist shallow support only, and would end up holding if prices don‘t go below $85 before the EST noon.

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Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020. Trade calls and writing are her cup of tea as much as a unique combination of macro, intermarket and technicals applied with in-depth experience. Having been at the markets when Great Recession arrived, she experienced many bull and bear markets - be it in stocks, bonds, precious metals or oil.
Check her out at https://www.monicakingsley.co

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.