Gold price plummets as U.S.-China trade relations thawing

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are sharply down and silver futures prices also lower in early U.S. trading Monday. Risk appetite has returned to the marketplace after the weekend news that the world’s two largest economies are seeing a significant thawing in their cold war on trade. June gold was last down $121.50 at $3,222.50. July silver prices were last down $0.469 at $32.445.

Risk appetite is keen to start the trading week following the weekend news that the U.S. and China are working on better trade relations. Most tariffs were slashed on each other’s goods for a period of 90 days. The 90-day accord signals a notable de-escalation in the ongoing trade conflict between the two economic superpowers. The deal was announced after high-level negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland, and is seen as a crucial step toward stabilizing global markets and restoring business confidence. Joint statement: “After taking the aforementioned actions, the parties will establish a mechanism to continue discussions about economic and trade relations,” the joint statement said, adding this dialogue would be led by Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.

Asian and European stock markets were mostly higher in overnight trading. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to sharply higher openings today in New York.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index sharply higher and at a four-week high. Nymex crude oil futures prices are sharply higher and trading around $63.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently at 4.457%.  

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the USDA monthly supply and demand report, and the U.S. Treasury monthly budget statement.

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Technically, June gold futures bulls have lost their overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $3,350.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $3,200.00. First resistance is seen at $3,250.00 and then at $3,275.00. First support is seen at the May low of $3,209.40 and then at $3,200.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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July silver futures bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $34.015. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $31.00. First resistance is seen at $33.00 and then at the overnight high of $33.20. Next support is seen at $32.00 and then at last week’s low of $31.86. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

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Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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