Too many eggs in one basket?

Kitco Media
By G. Miguel Perez-Santalla
Published:
Updated:
Kitco Commentaries
Opinions, Ideas and Markets Talk

Featuring views and opinions written by market professionals, not staff journalists.

Too many eggs in one basket? teaser image

New York Area Vaults

It is obvious by the title of this post that I will be discussing risk. Risk is something that we all have every day in our lives. Some live in complete denial of it and some embrace it. Most others just react to it.

If you are in the precious metals industry or related business, you must be aware of the dislocation currently occurring in the marketplace. Since talk of tariffs began when President Donald Trump was sworn in, the Comex has begun paying a higher premium than the London market for gold and silver.

Typically, the spot market is at equilibrium, meaning the price at each location is the same.  Of course, plus or minus transportation cost. On occasion in my lifetime, I have seen disparities caused by different market events that spurred the differential.  At times London was higher, at other time New York was higher. This is an opportunity for the arbitrage trade causing large movements of metal from one location to the other and eventually the demand that caused the disparity would be filled and premium of the one location over the other would cease to exist.

In this recent case, we have the unique situation that the factor causing the price disparity has no clear end in sight. This past weekend the USA had announced an increase in tariffs on all goods from Mexico, Canada and China. We expected to get clarity in the markets this week on the effect on the gold and silver markets. However, Mexico and Canada both negotiated a reprieve and so there has been no publication of exactly what the US government has determined will be subject tariffs. The world cannot work with blanket commentary, unlike the media, and to avoid being caught with our pants down the US market remains at a premium.

The CME or COMEX vaults in the New York area are now burdened with super high values of holdings on their premises. As of last night, these vaults are holding $107bn in precious metals at current market prices.

One major holder of gold which we are working with has been in the process of diversifying their holding across geographic locations since before this market condition even existed. Their concern before was that they had too much location risk between New York and London. They related to us that they want to spread the risk as, they know they were never truly insured dollar for dollar at any of these locations because their values are high and the companies that hold these metals also have limitation on coverage.

Essentially, insurance companies will not take on excess risk on one location no matter how secure that entity is, because if some unknown occurrences were to happen it could risk the entire industry in one fell swoop.

Within this framework of events, it has increased the demand for risk diversification for precious metals away from the New York market locations and additionally for interest in locations that have Free Trade Zone status. The Wyoming Reserve is in the right place at the right time. With both these factors working in our favor it has driven a flurry of business. We stand at the ready to provide the services needed to the market. As a business-to-business company we are well positioned to execute on delivering the services the market currently demands.

Kitco Media

G. Miguel Perez-Santalla

Mr. Perez-Santalla has an accomplished and internationally recognized precious metals’ commodities career that has spanned the last four decades. His experience in trading, hedging, and risk management of precious metals for his past institutional, commercial, and retail customers makes his perspective deep and unique. He most recently worked with Heraeus Metals New York as Head of Precious Metals Risk Management Sales and is now currently the President of The Wyoming Reserve, LLC, a precious metals company. Throughout his career, Mr. Perez-Santalla has been interviewed by, quoted, and published in numerous print media and has appeared on Bloomberg and CNBC. He is known for his lively presentations made for the International Precious Metals Institute (IPMI), Museum of American Finance and at The US Geological Survey in Virginia.Mr. Perez-Santalla has also served as President of the preeminent trade association for the precious metals industry, the International Precious Metals Institute and continues to publish his market commentaries on substack.com under the title - The Fortress of Certitude - Precious Metals and Crypto.

Mdi Earth Logo
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.