The Resilient Rise of Gold: Breaking Records and Bouncing Back

Kitco Media
By Gary Wagner
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Gold's record-breaking ascent appears unstoppable, with prices consistently surpassing historical price heights. The most active June futures contract recently reached a remarkable milestone, exceeding $3,500 per troy ounce as it traded to an intra-day high of $3,509.90 on Tuesday, April 22. 

A sharp two-day correction followed, driving June gold down to $3,270.80 before stabilizing and closing yesterday in New York at $3,301.50. This pullback proved merely temporary, as gold rebounded vigorously when trading resumed in Australia an hour after New York's close. Within just four hours, investors who recognized the $200 decline as a buying opportunity pushed prices higher.

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In New York trading today, the June futures contract gained $59.80 (+1.81%) and an additional $12.60 after trading shifted to Australia at 6 PM ET, bringing a troy ounce to $3,374.50.

With gold establishing and then exceeding new record highs more than twenty times this year alone, these persistent gains make a powerful statement about the precious metal's fundamental value. Sophisticated investors worldwide recognize gold as a truly valuable asset, and consensus suggests its historic price appreciation has further room to run.

The most recent price advance appears directly attributable to increased safe-haven demand amid continuing global trade tensions under the Trump administration. Additionally, President Trump has moderated his rhetoric regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and softened his stance on tariffs, though significant measures remain in place, including the 145% tariff on Chinese imports into the United States.

Christopher Louney, commodities strategist at RBC Capital Markets, succinctly captured the dilemma facing many investors: "We maintain that gold prices are more driven by uncertainty—and as we have said before, uncertainty is inherently uncertain—than anything else. Gold has benefited in a variety of ways, not least of which is a search for safe havens, and in particular ones not tied to the US dollar."

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Because gold is priced against the dollar, it has benefited from both the dollar’s decline and gold’s growing bullish market sentiment, resulting in a historic "gold rush." Aaron Akyon, a prominent gold seller in New York's diamond district, reports unprecedented demand. During an interview with Katherine Hamilton and Hannah Erin Lang for Dow Jones Newswire, he could barely complete two sentences without customers inquiring about his merchandise. "The last two months have been busier than the whole of last year and a half."

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Wishing you, as always, good trading,

Kitco Media

Gary Wagner

Gary S. Wagner has been a technical market analyst for 25 years. A frequent contributor to STOCKS & COMMODITIES Magazine, he has also written for Futures Magazine as well as Barrons. He is the executive producer of "The Gold Forecast," a daily video newsletter.

He has been a speaker for financial seminars including Futures West and the Dow Jones Financial Symposium which travels throughout the world.. Coauthor of "Trading Applications Of Japanese Candlestick Charting" a John Wiley publication.

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