Crypto SWOT: Bitcoin Demand Weakens Despite Limited Panic Selling

Kitco Media
By Frank E Holmes
Published:
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Strengths

  • The tokenized real-world asset (RWA) market reached a record $28.9 billion in May, marking its tenth consecutive monthly all-time high, while the stablecoin market capitalization climbed to a record $320 billion. Tokenized Treasuries grew to $16.2 billion, and tokenized equities rose 20.4% to $2.41 billion, highlighting continued institutional adoption of blockchain-based financial products despite broader digital asset market weakness.
  • Japan’s parliament is advancing legislation that would classify cryptocurrencies as financial instruments under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, paving the way for products such as crypto ETFs and stronger investor protections. The move comes as the country surpasses 14 million crypto accounts, highlighting growing mainstream adoption and further integration of digital assets into traditional financial markets.
  • BlackRock is preparing to launch the iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (BITA), an income-generating bitcoin strategy built on its $47 billion IBIT spot Bitcoin ETF. The fund will generate yield by selling call options on a portion of its holdings and will charge a 0.65% fee, undercutting competing Bitcoin covered-call products. The launch reflects continued innovation and growing institutional demand for diversified Bitcoin investment strategies.

Weaknesses

  • Corporate Bitcoin accumulation has slowed significantly, with daily purchases by digital asset treasury companies falling from more than $500 million per day in April and May to nearly negligible levels in June. The decline comes alongside continued ETF outflows, which have exceeded $5.7 billion since mid-May, removing two major sources of demand and contributing to Bitcoin’s recent drop from roughly $74,000 to below $60,000.
  • JPMorgan said the retreat from the “debasement trade” has accelerated for Bitcoin. The debasement trade refers to investors buying assets such as Bitcoin and gold as protection against inflation, rising government debt, currency depreciation, and a weakening U.S. dollar. According to the bank, investors have continued reducing exposure to both assets through ETFs and futures markets, with allocations falling back to levels last seen in March 2025, signaling weaker demand for Bitcoin as a store-of-value asset.
  • Bitcoin demand continues to weaken, with CryptoQuant reporting a contraction of 652,000 BTC last week, the largest decline since January 2022. The firm also noted that Bitcoin is trading only about 9% above its realized price of $53,600—the average price at which coins last changed hands—while ETF demand is shrinking at the fastest pace since U.S. spot Bitcoin funds launched in January 2024. Investors realized losses of approximately 187,000 BTC over the past 30 days, well below the 400,000 BTC recorded in February 2026 and the 1.2 million BTC seen during the November 2022 market bottom. While this suggests the market has not yet experienced the widespread panic selling often associated with major cycle lows, it also highlights continued weakness in demand and institutional participation. 

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Opportunities

  • Tether led a $1.4 billion funding round in German robotics startup Neura Robotics, one of the largest investments in physical AI on record. The company, valued at up to $12 billion, aims to produce 5 million AI-powered robots by 2030 and has already secured roughly $1.2 billion in orders. The partnership also envisions robots equipped with blockchain-based wallets capable of autonomously receiving and making payments, highlighting the growing convergence of artificial intelligence, robotics, and digital assets.
  • Citigroup launched Digital Depositary Receipts, a blockchain-based product that provides institutional and accredited investors access to private company equity through tokenized securities. The initiative targets the rapidly growing private markets industry, which now exceeds $15 trillion in assets, while reinforcing momentum behind real-world asset tokenization, a market some analysts estimate could reach trillions of dollars by 2030. The move underscores how major financial institutions are increasingly integrating blockchain technology into traditional capital markets.
  • SpaceX shares will begin trading on Solana through a tokenized security called SPCX on the same day the company is expected to list on Nasdaq. The structure allows investors to convert shares into blockchain-based tokens and back again, enabling 24/7 trading and self-custody. The launch highlights growing momentum behind tokenized equities, a market that could eventually tap into the more than $60 trillion U.S. stock market while building on the success of stablecoins and other tokenized real-world assets.

Threats

  • A U.S. appeals court upheld the fraud and conspiracy convictions of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, rejecting arguments that his trial was unfair. The ruling reinforces the legal consequences of one of the largest corporate failures in crypto history and serves as a reminder of the reputational and regulatory risks that continue to weigh on the digital asset industry.
  • A new report estimated that U.S. users placed between $11 billion and $34 billion in bets through offshore prediction market platforms that are not authorized to operate in the country. The findings could increase regulatory scrutiny of blockchain-based prediction markets, particularly as the sector grows rapidly and relies on cross-border platforms that may not fully comply with U.S. licensing and compliance requirements.
  • Several major crypto exchanges, including Bybit, Binance, and Bitget, were forced to cancel planned allocations of tokenized SpaceX shares after failing to secure sufficient underlying stock to meet investor demand. The incident highlights ongoing challenges around liquidity, asset sourcing, and scalability in the rapidly growing tokenized equities market, raising questions about platforms’ ability to deliver adequate exposure as demand increases.
Kitco Media

Frank E Holmes

Frank Holmes is CEO and chief investment officer of U.S. Global Investors, Inc., a boutique investment advisory firm based in San Antonio that manages domestic and offshore funds specializing in the natural resources and emerging markets sectors. The company’s no-load mutual funds include the Global Resources Fund (ticker PSPFX), the World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) and the Gold Shares Fund (USERX).

Please consider carefully the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this and other important information, obtain a fund prospectus by visiting www.usfunds.com or by calling 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Read it carefully before investing. Distributed by U.S. Global Brokerage, Inc.

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