Gold and silver WARNING: The selling is not over

Kitco Media
By CPM Group
Published:
Updated:
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Gold and silver WARNING: The selling is not over teaser image

In this presentation, Jeffrey Christian of CPM Group provides a precious metals update. He discusses the gold price outlook, the silver market, ETF investor selling, and Russian central bank gold reserves. He also covers counterparty risk and weakness in platinum and palladium.

Gold is trading near $4,150 and continues to test the $4,100 area, while some investors and central banks are waiting to see whether prices break below $4,000 before returning as buyers.

Jeff reviews gold ETF data showing that investors sold approximately 2.1 million ounces during June, helping to explain the recent price decline. He also examines Russian central bank gold reserves, noting that Russia sold gold during ten of the past 12 months and that its reserves have fallen to roughly 72 million ounces.

The silver market update covers silver trading near $60, the possibility of a move toward $55, and why CPM Group is less convinced that investors waiting for $40 or $45 silver will get those prices.

Jeff also discusses a precious metals dealer bankruptcy involving approximately $40 million in customer payments for metal that had not been delivered, along with additional money owed to customers who had sold metal to the dealer. He explains why investors must understand their counterparties when purchasing physical gold and silver.

The presentation concludes with comments on platinum group metals, weakening auto demand, political misinformation, Russia and Ukraine, and the importance of relying on research-driven market information instead of social media hype. 

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CPM Group

CPM Group is a commodities research, consulting, financialadvisory and commodities management firm providing independent research,analysis and advisory services related to commodities markets, corporate andproject finance, and the financial management of exposure to commodity orientedinvestments.

We started our business in 1986 predicated on the idea that commoditiesresearch and advice is best delivered by independent experts who do not work forbanks, brokers, mining companies, or any other entity that has interests thatcould conflict with the best interests of the clients receiving the research,analysis, and advice.

All of our work is driven by fundamental commodities research and economicanalysis. As we undertake our research into individual commodities markets wegather a tremendous amount of information and develop an enormous body ofextremely high quality, unbiased analysis of the markets and the companies thatare involved with individual commodities. The outputs of our research andanalysis take the form of research reports, specialized and targeted consultingrelated to these markets, financial advisory services ranging from corporate andproject finance structuring to equity introductions, and managing specificcommodities and investment positions for clients.

CPM Group continues to demonstrate the economic value and financial worth ofsuperior research, information, and analysis. Our research is based onmicro-economic analysis of the individual components of each commodity market,wedded with a top-down macro-economic analysis of the global trends affectingthese markets. We apply the results of that analysis to our research,consulting, and advisory services.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.