Finance ministers say this is an improvement on the unobservable and revision-prone structural deficit which is the focus now.
A government can negotiate more time to cut debt if it promises reforms and investment that boost growth or resilience, strengthen public finances or addresses EU strategic priorities, like the green and digital transition or defence capabilities. In case of shocks to the economy that are outside a government's power, there would be an "escape clause" allowing a temporary deviation from the agreed debt cutting deal, though it would have to be approved by other governments. In an acknowledgment that apart from conducting sound fiscal policy, governments need to win elections, the ministers agreed in their conclusions that the new rules must "allow the democratic process ...to shape their economic policies." "Therefore, all plans could be aligned, upon request, with the national electoral cycle, revised with the accession of new governments, and updated in objective circumstances, while upholding the ambition of the fiscal adjustment," they agreed.
TRICKY DETAILS There remain a number of points on which the ministers disagree. Chief among them is the methodology of the Commission's debt sustainability analysis on which so much of the debt cutting deal is to depend and which would limit a government's borrowing and spending power. Equally controversial is the issue of whether there should be any numerical benchmarks for debt reduction that would be common to all countries even if they negotiate individual paths, and if yes, what they should be. This is a point, especially sensitive for Germany, which insists there should be some common quantitative rules on debt despite the increased flexibility. "There is still a lot of work to be done, for Germany to agree," German Finance Minister Christian Lindner said after the ministers' meeting. Other open questions include the new framework's requirements for those countries which do not have any major debt problems, how to define the expenditure aggregate, when exactly a government should get more time for debt reduction and how to enforce the agreed plans. Once finance ministers agree on the broad principles on Tuesday and EU leaders back them at their summit on March 23-24, the Commission will start drafting concrete proposals on the still open questions. (Reporting by Jan Strupczewski; Editing by Sonali Paul and Christina Fincher)
Messaging: jan.strupczewski.reuters.com@reuters.net))