Gold slips 1% as large rate-cut hopes dim after US CPI data

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Gold slips 1% as large rate-cut hopes dim after US CPI data teaser image

Aug 14 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell 1% on Wednesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices rebounded as expected in July, pouring water on expectations for a sizeable rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month.

Spot gold fell 1% to $2,440.47 per ounce by 01:45 p.m. EDT (1745 GMT). U.S. gold futures settled 1.1% lower at $2,479.70.

"A September cut is a mortal lock; at the moment the data is suggesting the Fed will start with 25 bps which would be a disappointment to the market which likes to overshoot," said Tai Wong, a New York-based independent metals trader.

The U.S. consumer price index increased 0.2% last month, after falling 0.1% in June, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said. In the 12 months through July, the CPI increased 2.9%, after advancing 3% in June.

Markets now see a 36% chance of a 50-basis point rate cut by the Fed in September versus that of 50% prior to the release of U.S. CPI data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding bullion.

"Expectations now have shifted back in favor of just a 25 basis point cut, so that could be taking some of the momentum away from the gold market," said Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday he wanted to see "a little more data" before he was ready to support lowering interest rates.

"We are still in an environment of significantly elevated geopolitical tensions which always benefits gold," said Ben Hoff, head of commodity strategy at Societe Generale.

Non-yielding gold has risen 19% so far this year after spot prices touched a record high of $2,483.60 on July 17, owing to firm safe-haven demand and Fed rate-cut expectations.

Elsewhere, spot silver fell 2.1% to $27.26 and platinum dipped 1.3% to $923.95. Palladium was down 1.2% at $927.25.

Reporting by Rahul Paswan and Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Shreya Biswas and Alan Barona

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.