Fed seen less likely to raise rates as job growth slows

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Fed seen less likely to raise rates as job growth slows teaser image

July 2 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers have less ​reason to deliver an interest-rate hike later this ‌month, traders bet on Thursday, after a government report showed the U.S. economy added far fewer jobs than expected ​in the last two months.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by ​57,000 jobs in June, the Labor Department's Bureau ⁠of Labor Statistics said in its closely watched ​employment report on Thursday.

That was about half what economists ​had anticipated. May job gains were revised down to 129,000, from the 172,000 initially reported.

"The slowdown in payroll growth challenges the ​narrative of renewed labour market strength that has ​been building in recent months but, importantly, reinforces the view that ‌the ⁠Federal Reserve is under little pressure to tighten policy," wrote Principal Asset Management chief global strategist Seema Shah.

Traders of short-term interest-rate futures now see less than a ​20% chance ​of a ⁠rate hike in July, though they continue to see an increase in the policy ​rate in September as likely.

Fed funds futures ​contracts ⁠reflect about a 60% chance of a hike versus a continued hold in the current range of 3.50%-3.75%, ⁠versus ​about a 75% chance of ​a September rate hike seen before the jobs report.

Reporting by Ann Saphir , ​Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Louise Heavens and Chizu Nomiyama

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.