Gold and silver market outlook: Recession risks and the truth about Saudi silver

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By CPM Group
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Gold and silver market outlook: Recession risks and the truth about Saudi silver teaser image

In this market update, Jeffrey Christian of CPM Group looks at the state of the U.S. and global economies, focusing on long-term gold and silver projections and what the impact of a potential recession would mean for prices. He discusses economic risks tied to tariffs, immigration policies, government spending, and global political instability, all of which may continue to support investment demand for gold and silver.

Jeff also discusses overseas holdings of U.S. Treasuries, which have actually increased  year-over-year, countering claims that foreign governments are “dumping” Treasuries.

The presentation concludes with a look at  the recent hype around Saudi Arabia “buying silver.” In reality, the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority purchased on behalf of a separate government investment fund shares of silver-related ETFs, not physical silver for reserves. Jeff explains why this distinction matters, why silver is not considered a reserve monetary asset, and how Saudi investors have historically engaged in gold and silver markets for decades.

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CPM Group

CPM Group is a commodities research, consulting, financialadvisory and commodities management firm providing independent research,analysis and advisory services related to commodities markets, corporate andproject finance, and the financial management of exposure to commodity orientedinvestments.

We started our business in 1986 predicated on the idea that commoditiesresearch and advice is best delivered by independent experts who do not work forbanks, brokers, mining companies, or any other entity that has interests thatcould conflict with the best interests of the clients receiving the research,analysis, and advice.

All of our work is driven by fundamental commodities research and economicanalysis. As we undertake our research into individual commodities markets wegather a tremendous amount of information and develop an enormous body ofextremely high quality, unbiased analysis of the markets and the companies thatare involved with individual commodities. The outputs of our research andanalysis take the form of research reports, specialized and targeted consultingrelated to these markets, financial advisory services ranging from corporate andproject finance structuring to equity introductions, and managing specificcommodities and investment positions for clients.

CPM Group continues to demonstrate the economic value and financial worth ofsuperior research, information, and analysis. Our research is based onmicro-economic analysis of the individual components of each commodity market,wedded with a top-down macro-economic analysis of the global trends affectingthese markets. We apply the results of that analysis to our research,consulting, and advisory services.

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