One way to position for the next silver squeeze

Kitco Media
By Phillip Streible
Published:
Updated:
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It was three weeks ago when the December Silver futures peaked at $53.76, when your typical Friday profit-taking kicked into high gear. The explosive move over $50 just five days before served as a wake-up call to speculators looking for some action. Behind the scenes, a physical silver shortage in the London market contributed to the peak, with borrowing rates spiking due to rising physical-backed ETF demand and a consumer shift from Gold to Silver in India. Relief occurred when shipments of Silver from the US and China helped ease this tightness, contributing to the dramatic decline with Silver off 9.86% from its 52-week high. 

Daily Silver Chart 

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While a 10% correction is never enjoyable, these short-term fluctuations are part of the market's dynamics and not indicative of a change in the strong underlying fundamentals of the silver market. 

The long-term outlook for Silver remains strong, and the core fundamentals driving its rally remain intact, primarily due to a persistent supply deficit that has persisted for five years, with demand consistently outpacing supply. Industrial demand continues to grow, especially from sectors such as solar energy, electric vehicles (EVs), 5G networks, and AI hardware, further supporting the market. Additionally, limited supply growth plays a role, as Silver is often produced as a byproduct of other metals like Copper and Zinc, making it challenging to increase production in response to its own price fluctuations. Staying ahead of the Silver market has never been easier. Get the Blue Line Futures Precious Metals Chart Pack today by registering here: Get Precious Metals Chart Pack

Example Silver Options Strategy

We firmly believe that a "Commodities Supercycle" is currently underway, and Silver is now facing its fifth consecutive year of deficit, and another squeeze could be underway. To prepare, we are constructing long-dated call spreads in the Silver market for our clients.

For example purposes, one could purchase the March 2026 Silver futures $55.00 call option while selling a March 2026 Silver futures $65.00 call against it. The plan will create a calculated risk Bull Call spread and costs $4,500 plus any commissions and fees, while your maximum gain would be $50,000, less your initial cost, if silver futures close above $65.00/oz at expiration on February 24, 2026. We believe this strategy achieves a low-risk, high-reward profile. To learn more about Silver futures and options, you can register to access our latest daily commentary, research, and analysis on the Silver market: Get Silver Research.

Kitco Media

Phillip Streible

Phillip Streible is a Series 3 licensed Chief Market Strategist at Blue Line Futures and specializes in working with clients in developing futures and options strategies in the metals markets. As the Chief Market Strategist his goal is to show clients how to anticipate, recognize and react to bull and bear market conditions through the use of fundamental and technical analysis techniques that help them to define risk. With more than 16 years of experience working with clients, Phillip ran one of the largest retail commodities desks while at Lind-Waldock where he focused on metals, energies, currencies and agricultural markets.

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